14 DAYS OF PREPARATION: How to prepare for Y2K failuresgreenspun.com : LUSENET : TimeBomb 2000 (Y2000) : One Thread
Preparing for Y2K breakdown can be overwhelming to people who have just learned about the late start and slow progress of profitable and government organizations in dealing with their Y2K technology problems. Though there is not much time for those who would like to get ready, newbies need to "prep smart;" it is important that they concentrate on first things (or the basics of survival): shelter, heat, water, and food. Without these first things, one's chances of surviving can be reduced to hours (depending on weather). Focusing on first things is also a lot easier than thinking about and shopping for everything you might want to have to make your lives more comfortable whatever might happen. Once these first things are in place, the newbie can proceed to the second order of preparations. And they will proceed from first things to the second order with a lot less anxiety about the safety of themselves and their family.
In this message, I will cover the following topics and subtopics:
- First Things
- Mapping out your wishes, goals, and bughet
As in "being cheap," stretching your budget, and having money for lots of other things that you may want to include in your personal preparations including an Aladdin Oil Lamp, Bug Out Bag, and some other things too.
There is a total of seven topics and subtopics (including the introduction) and each topic should take less than two (2) minutes to read. Generally speaking, there is a lot to cover, too much to put into one thread and expect someone to read down to the bottom. This message won't cover everything you need to know, but my intention here is to help you think about these topics and develop a plan of action for making preparations or helping someone else make preparations as quickly as possible.
The minimum of preparation should be for 14 days for you, your family, your pets, and whoever you know that may come to depend upon you in hard times. This 14 day recommendation is based on an assumption that public shelters can be organized and operating in a two week period in the event of intensive, wide-spread need for assistance in your local area, region, and nationally. Alternately, you may decide to prepare in such a way that you do not need to evacuate to a public shelter. Many on this forum are making such preparations.
Shelter, Heat, Water, and Food. Without these first things, one's chances of surviving can be reduced to hours (depending on weather). Most people have a shelter (they can "shelter in place" at their house, apartment, etc. If things get really bad (and I don't expect them to), you may need to make plans for a fall back shelter whether that includes seeking a public shelter (contact your local red cross unit and ask them what they their contingency plans might include), going to a neighbor or relative's home, or, generally, bugging out. Bugging out has been discussed in a number of threads (now located in the archives of the Timebomb 2000 discussion forum). If the extent of a disaster is such that you will be bugging out, you should now begin to coordinate your bug out plans with others in your local area, outer lyings areas, and elsewhere.
First Things: Heat: Introduction
Heat may or may not be a serious concern. It depends on where you live and how cold the weather gets around you, how well insulated your house is, and how much air gets in and out of the house. Where I live it seems to rarely get down to 20 degrees (30 being freezing). Still, I find that my body temperature drops when I sleep and I am uncomfortable to sleep in less than 50 degrees with a good down comforter. I want to stay warm and get sleep-- whatever may happen. I say that the solution or solutions will vary according to how long you guess that the power will be out, how long you will weather persisting power outages in your home, and what you'll do if you bug out. I am told that over time, your body will adjust to colder temperatures (some number of degrees less than you normally prefer. Nonetheless, can you make it 14 days?
First Things: Heat: Keeping Warm
There are lots of ways you can keep warm: wear warm clothing, wrap yourself up in blankets, fire up a wood/coal stove, a propane stove, or a kerosene heater, and good old emergency fall backs (huddling around a kerosene lamp or lantern). Wood stoves are the most expensive option; warm clothes are the cheapest solution. If you get a wood stove, for example, you also have to get the firewood and chop it up to the right size. This could be a $US 2000 or more proposition. A propane stove or kerosene heater are more affordable (usually not more than $US 250), but require ventillation, thus they may reduce the heating effectiveness of the fuel and require more fuel to balance out the loss of heat through ventillation. Some kerosene lamps may keep you warm in a tight space (like a bathroom) such as an Aladdin Lamp, Coleman lantern, or Petromax lantern. Wool blankets (Pendleton and Hudson's Bay Company have been recommended) and down comforters may help you get through high 20s and 30 degree nights. For clothes, wool is fantastic and the other cold weather materials used in snow suits, winter jackets, etc. Don't forget long underwear (silk long underwear from L.L.Bean is recommended), socks, and hats.
First Things: Heat: Links
Brian's Preparation Archives: Posts on Heating
Five essentials to getting the most out of your woodpile
Chimney Safety Institute of America
First Things: Water: Introduction
You can go three days without water, experts say. I found that I had a hard time on one hike in the Sierras after about 4 hours since I had had my last gulp of water. Probably, I was dehydrated before starting out. I was so desparate that I drank right out of a stream and was very lucky not to get anything. So from now on, you should consciously keep hydrated. That means a minimum of eight cups of cool, refreshing water not including what's in the caffeinated drinks and sodas that you drink. You'll also need to figure out how much water you need to store up, how to have access to it (well or whatever), or how to filter and/or distill potable water. Will you have water for 14 days?
First Things: Water: Health
According to the World Health Organization, contaminated water is the largest health problem in the world. Throughout the world, 50,000 human beings die every day to waterborne disease. The Center for Disease Control estimates that 1,000,000 people in the United States of America suffer health problems caused by microbiologically contaminated water each year. In the U.S., an average 1,000 people die every year from water-related diseases. Furthermore, waterborne gastrointestinal infections account for 80% of all diseases in the world. Health-related problems from chemical contamination is also a serious problem. Biological and chemical water-related health problems are expected to dramatically increase around the world as public water treatment centers seem likely to be temporarily disabled by Y2K technology failures.
The three natural biological water-related health threats are bacteria, viruses, and protozoa-- all of which are generally invisible to the unaided human eye. Bacteria are one-celled organisms that generally vary from 0.2 and 1.5 microns (maximum 10 microns). The most common waterborne bacteria which cause infections include: typhoid, para-typhoid, dysentery, colibacillosis, and cholera. Viruses vary in size from 0.1 to 0.004 microns. While most a virus can pass through the smallest filter, viruses tend to adhere to particles in the water. Many filters can filter out these virus-carrying particles. Common water-borne viral infections include hepatitis, yellow fever, and poliomyelitis. Protozoa are one-celled animals; they vary in size from 10 to 100 microns. They can be carried by insects or in the form of cysts when outside of the human or animal organism. Water-borne protozoans that cause disease include amoeba, giardia, cryptosporidium, and malaria.
Chemicals (found in tap or well water) that may cause health-related problems include toxic chemicals, heavy metals, and common radionuclides. Among the toxic chemicals are trialomethanes, PCB, PCE, detergents, and pesticides. Some heavy metals to be concerned about may include aluminum, asbestos, cadmium, chromium, copper, lead, and mercury. A common radionuclide such as Radon 222 may be found in some well water in areas where Radon is a problem.
First Things: Water: How much?
The experts say that you need one gallon of water per day. I say that the number of gallons you need will vary and vary according to how long you guess that water will be out, how long you will weather out persisting water outages in your home, and what you'll do if you bug out. Let's start with 14 days of water after which we would all hope that the worst was over. Some of you will be amazed at how much water you would want (and still wish that you had lots more water!). Try to guess how much water you go through in an average day. And just because you don't do the dishes or laundry doesn't mean that your water use isn't many many gallons.
You'll need water for everyone in your house and whoever joins you to drink, bathe, wash dishes, flush toilets, and possibly wash some clothes like undergarments. Figure on one gallon per person per day for drinking and washing dishes, 5 gallons per day per flush, and about 5 gallons per day for a quarter load of hand-washed undergarments. Therefore, a party of five flushing the toilet three times per day and with one quarter load of undergarments to wash will need 70 gallons for drinking and washing dishes, 210 gallons for flushing the toilets, and 70 gallons for clothes washing. That's a total of 350 gallons of water (stored in seven 55 gallon barrels).
First Things: Water: Water Storage
Depending on where you live (house or apartment and city, suburb, or country), your access to water and storage capacity will vary. 350 gallons of water (stored in 55 gallon barrels in different rooms) will be about the maximum for second or higher floor apartments. Roughly, it is about 2,800 pounds of weight on that floor -- not to mention all your other stuff. If you are in a house or have a house with some yard, storage is less a problem and allows you several options: pond, above ground kiddie pool, well, etc. Let's say that the average cost of very large water storage solutions is about $US 1.00 per gallon. Generally, 55 gallon barrels for food and water storage can be obtained for less than $US 10.00 each from a soda, juice, or other beverage bottling plant.
First Things: Water: Water Treatment
There is a lot of debate about treating tap water (if you get city water) for storage. So check with your water provider and find out if you need to add bleach. There are also other chemical agents used to treat water for biological contaminants, but I would stick to bleach (chlorine) or use a filter. Dry chlorine, also called calcium hypochlorite has the added benefit of extended shelf life. Providing it is kept dry, cool and in an airtight container, it may be stored up to 10 years with minimal degradation. If you want to keep chlorine in larger quantities, this is the item to store (according to Bingo1). It must be ONLY 65% calcium hypochlorite, no additional anti-fungals or clarifiers. There are a variety of filters on the market. The Katadyn and Doulton-type filters generally provide "mechanical" type protection against Crytosporidium, Gardia, cysts, and spores. Filters that use carbon may be helpful as a chemical filter, but generally the run of the mill carbon-based filters have a short life and become a fantastic breeding ground for micro-organisms. In most cases, it is a good idea to boil your water for 5 to 10 minutes after it has been treated with bleach or filtered.
In an EXTREMELY well-ventilated area, (Hint: OUTSIDE!) add and dissolve one heaping teaspoon of high-test granular calcium hypochlorite (approximately 1/4 ounce) in two gallons of water, thus creating a liquid bleach solution which is the approximate equivalent of "Clorox" & other off-the-shelf bleach products. This solution can then be used to sanitize water as necessary. Five pounds of dry pool bleach (costing about $10-15) will make 640 gallons of stock bleach solution which will treat 640,000 gallons of clear water, or 320,000 gallons of cloudy water.
You can also get a filter such as those used by the Red Cross and other organizations such as the hand pump Katadyn, the British Berkefield Water Can, or the Seychelle Personal Water Filtration System. Katadyn and Doulton-type water filters can get very expensive, very fast. The hand pump Katadyn and Berkefield water can generally retail for $US 250.00. On the other hand, you can take a filter with you... but not a well or several 55 gallons filled with water (each filled 55 gallon barrel weighs about 440 pounds). There are less expensive filters that generally use the same filter as the more expensive units. If you are interested in these less expensive filter units, you might consider the Seychelle Personal Water Filtration System. The Seychelle come as a plastics bottles or canteens and are good for 200 gallons. These are affordable (about $US 25) and may be ideal for your 14 day preparations or bug out bag.
First Things: Water: General Links
Brian's Preparation Archives: Posts on Water
Does anyone know where I can get the best price on water drums? An Older Forum Post.
Small problem with my 2 liter bottle water storage. An older Forum Post.
First Things: Water: Storage Links
How and where to Store Water
First Things: Water: Treatment Links
EPA: Emergency Disinfection of Drinking Water
Basic Survival Rain Water Filter System
The Solar Puddle
Solar Water Distillation - Stills
Water Purification - Links from RMSG
-- Stan Faryna (firstname.lastname@example.org), August 23, 1999
First Things: Food: Introduction
While some can continue to exist up to a month without food (and really have irreversible internal damage and health problems for the rest of their life), most people don't like to skip more than one meal and can get quite cranky about it. Without power, the frigerator and freezer food will go bad and if the grocery store shelves are empty, you'll be glad that you filled up your pantry or whatever. In fact, you should plan on nutritiously balanced meals that are rich in calories, vitamins, nutrients, and other essential things -- while you can still can enjoy them. Once you have a handle on the nutritional requirements of your household, pets, and guests, you can figure out how this works out in terms of canned and dehydrated foods and specific foods that you, your family, your pets, and your guests normally eat. Make sure that you are fully aware of food allergies and preferences. While it may seem that you have enough food in the cupboard or pantry right now to feed you and yours, please do not underestimate the general unpleasantness of people and animals that do not eat well during a time of high stress. In fact, it is unlikely that you have 168 twelve ounce cans of vegetables right now (which is about what a family of six may need for 14 days in regard to the daily recommended consumption of vegetables according to USDA guidelines).
First Things: Food: Calories and Nutrition
According to the USDA Food Pyramid, the daily ratio of servings of different food groups looks like this:
- Fats, oils and sweets (sparingly, but it is necessary)
- Milk, yogurt, and cheese group (2-3 servings)
- Meat, poultry, fish, dry beans, eggs, and nuts group (2-3 servings)
- Vegetable group (3-5 servings)
- Fruit Group (2-4 servings)
- Bread, cereal, rice, and pasta group (6-11 servings).
The USDA makes the following recommendations for caloric intake:
- 1,600 calories is about right for many sedentary women and some older adults
- 2,200 calories is about right for most children, teenage girls, active women, and many sedentary men. Women who are pregnant or breat feeding may need somewhat more calories.
- 2,800 calories is about right for teen-age boys, many active men, and some very active women."
These caloric level recommendations were based on findings of the National Academy of Sciences and on caloric intakes reported by people in national food consumption surveys. Those that have pets will have a better idea of what amounts and kinds of foods are appropriate for their pets, therefore I am avoiding specific recommendations on nutrition and calorie requirements of animals. If you own pets, you may not be able to bring your pets to a public shelter. If facilities for pets have been set up, your pets may be kept separately in a stressful and infectious containment area. Therefore, you may decide on sheltering in place (in your home) or elsewhere and will need to make the appropriate preparations for more than 14 days.
First Things: Food: Cost and Calories
In their preparations for Y2K, some have found that food preps can get pretty expensive. Even if you buy it on sale, store bought canned food can become very expensive when you try to get the calories to match up with individual requirements. For example, one entire 12 ounce can of green beans on sale at $US .70 may have 80 calories. A mixed can of carrots and peas of the same size and sale price might only have about the same amount of calories. Therefore, if you have a family of six and are feeding each person 2 cans per day for 14 days, that comes out to 168 cans at $US 117.60. This may seem like a lot of food to you, but it only provides 160 calories per day to each person. In other words, you have to make up 1400 to 2600 calories per person in other foods.
One strategy for boosting the total caloric value of your Y2K food stockpiles (without spending a lot of money) is by including a good store of honey, syrup, pasta, olive oil, and vegetable oil. If you are making pan bread with each meal, for example, load it up with honey or dip it in olive oil. Include several servings of pasta per person at least one meal per day. Plan on making pancakes a lot. Fry as much of your food as often as possible-- especially if people are hauling water and chopping wood. Think about southern food and how many high calorie southern dishes evolved from old slave recipes-- slaves that often were short of food supplies and yet had awesome energy requirements due to their many difficult chores.
First Things: Food: Storage
Canned foods have various expiration dates. Typically, a can of vegetables is good for two years from the date of its canning. Fruits are typically good for at least one year from the canning date. Grains, sugar, and the like will usually store a year or too in a good bucket that was packed with nitrogen or carbon dioxide. Buckets that include food sealed inside mylar liners are even better. While dehydrated canned foods generally have a shelf life of ten years or better, they are more valuable for their storage life and vitamin content than their calorie content. Of course, the shelf life of both canned foods and dehydrated canned foods will be effected positively or negatively by temperature and exposure to sunlight. It is generally recommended that you buy canned foods that you already eat, or that you start including canned foods in your meals in order to adjust to digestive challenges that may be posed by an intensive canned food diet. While the ideal situation is if you can and dehydrate your own foods, this is a time-consuming chore that most people can not spare time to do these days. The point is that you know what you like and you know how to make it taste best to you. Those that would like to incorporate living foods into their meals, might consider sprouting alfalfa and other seeds.
First Things: Food: Growing and Cooking
Food is a really big subject that includes growing and cooking in addition to storage, nutrition, and caloric requirements. Check out Sally's Y2K Kitchen for more information about cooking and planning Y2K meals. Check out Old Git's posts in the archives for a lot of info on growing things.
First Things: Food: General Links
Brian's Preparation Archives: Posts on Food
Brian's Preparation Archives: Posts on Food Storage
http://www.greenspun.com/bboard/q-and-a-one-category.tcl?q_and_a_p=t&a mp;topic=Year+2000+Preparation+Archive&refers_to=NEW&category= Food+Storage+and+Preserving
Brian's Preparation Archives: Posts on Growing Food
First Things: Food: Storage Links
The Food Storage FAQs Version 3.0
Walton Feed Info Page
Solar Food Drying
National Food Safety Database
North Dakota State University Publications
Food Preservation Data Base
Food Storage Life
First Things: Food: Related Books
Suzanne Ashworth, Seed to Seed
Mike and Nancy Bubel, Root Cellaring : Natural Cold Storage of Fruits and Vegetables
Jane Cooper, Woodstove Cookery: At Home on the Range
Barbara W. Ellis (Editor), The Organic Gardener's Handbook of Natural Insect and Disease Control
Carla Emery, Encyclopedia of Country Living
Dan Halacy, Cooking With the Sun : How to Build and Use Solar Cookers
Joseph C. Jenkins, The Humanure Handbook : A Guide to Composting Human Manure
Harriet Kofalk, Solar Cooking : A Primer/Cookbook
John J.Mettler , Jr., Basic Butchering of Livestock & Game
James Talmage Stevens, Making the Best of Basics: Family Preparedness Handbook
Steven Thomas, et al., Backyard Livestock : Raising Good Natural Food for Your Family
MAPPING OUT YOUR WISHES, GOALS, AND BUDGET
Time is short and your cash and credit may be in short supply too. How will you complete the first phase of your Y2K preparations? You know, first things. It's likely that you won't if you don't it smartly. So be smart about
your preps; prep smartly. Get a pencil or pen and some paper (not now) and map out your wishes, goals, and budget. I know you can do it in your head, but you may not remember everything in a day or much less
a week. The first thing to do (once you have your list) is "x" out all your of wishes and re-evaluate your goals.
You know what you need (you wrote it down on paper), you know how much each category is generally going to cost (you wrote this down too), and you are ready to go out and spend your hard-earned cash. Depending on how much personal time you have to hunt down a good bargain and how much money you can afford to spend, you may want to... CONSIDER THE FOLLOWING (said in a Bill Nye, the Science guy, booming voice) ...
TOP 11 PLACES TO GET THINGS CHEAP OR FOR FREE
Number 11. Ebay (non-electric music boxes, used Hudson Bay Company 100% wool blankets, etc.)
Number 10. BJs, Big Lots, Costco, Kmart, Sam's Club, and Walmart (canned food and more)
Number 9. Sales at the local grocery or other stores (canned food and more: most yourdonites)
Number 8. Estate Sales (fireplace inserts, wood stoves, garden tools, firewood)
Number 7. Yard/ Moving Sale (gas-kerosene cans, kerosene heaters, firewood, and more)
Number 6. Public Storage Auctions
Number 5. Dollar Store
Number 4. Soda, juice, and food plant-factory (55 gallon food grade barrels)
Number 3. Store and Restaurant Dumpsters (food containers and more)
Number 2. Local Dump and Junk Yards (canning jars and lids)
Number 1. Your local Y2K nut (they'll have water, food, heat, and more: Y2K Pro) "Just be sure you contact the appropriate authorities to confiscate their guns and ammunitions, first."
Got any other ideas for the top ten cheapest places to get stuff? Send me an email at email@example.com.
Best Preparation Buys: A Recent Forum Message
Girl Scout's on Y2K preparations
(contributed by FM)
Which Are Your Favorite Y2K Preparation Checklists? (For The New GI): A good forum thread
(contributed by Diane J. Squire)
Good luck to you all, and God bless you.
This document is created and designed to provide information on the Year 2000 computer date problem. It is provided with the understanding that neither Stan Faryna or any other contributors to this document are engaged in rendering legal, accounting, investment, spiritual, or other professional services or advice. Persons needing such advice are advised to seek private and personal counsel. The author and contributors are providing certain information that is, at the time presented, believed to be an accurate portrayal of facts. All information should be used as a general guide only and not as the ultimate source of information. The author and contributors shall not be liable and/or responsible to any person or entity with respect to any loss or damage caused, or alleged to be caused, directly or indirectly, by any information provided.
-- Stan Faryna (firstname.lastname@example.org), August 23, 1999.