StLouisLouis Hit the Nail on the Head !!

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MCI's problems started very close to the time StLouisLouis made the prediction that y2k awareness would begin to accelerate. Read this interesting prediction here:

StLouisLouis's Prediction

Ray

-- Ray (ray@totacc.com), August 14, 1999

Answers

Yes, it's an interesting prediction, and one that proved to be false.

My intuition (and that's all I'm going on) tells me that in early to mid August the midset of the general population will change, people will get very worried and start stocking up, creating shortages and rising prices of what one would like to buy for their preps.

It's mid august and there's still plenty of "sheeple" around, plenty stuff to buy, and the prices are the same.

I'm thinking, therefor, that one had better buy what one wants in the next week at best, next two weeks at most if they want to "avoid the rush". My intuition tells me the "snowball will start rolling down the mountain" August 4th.

No snowball then.

A little larger on August 5th,

No snowball then either.

then quite a bit larger on August 9th,

Still no snowball.

larger still by August 11th,

Nope, still no snowball.

grows larger (little more in % terms -- 20 % increase in the increase -- than change from August 4th to 5th) on the 13th,

Snowball??? Where are you??

then the "picture will be quite clear and irrefutable on August 15th.

The picture is the same as before. Of course there's still one more day. So I'll volunteer that MY intuition says that tomorrow will show no noticable changes in the panic to buy survival stuff.

This is my prediction. Life has taught me to trust my intuition. I follow and trust it FWIW.

It appears that life has taught you a new lesson.

My purpose of sharing this is to suggest those planning on putting off their prep purchases had better get very busy, very fast. I am. The sense I'm getting regarding the above pertains to general panic, fear and worry of the U.S. general population.

There's no evidence of any increase in panic in the U.S. population. Your prediction was wrong. Your intuition was wrong. Better luck next time.

-- (sorry@try.again), August 14, 1999.


The GPS rollover (8/22) and the EOF protocol problem (9/9) haven't hit yet. The effects of those will IMHO decide what the U.S. public take on Y2K is during the next couple of months. Note that their effects may take weeks subsequently to show the full extent. John Q. cares very little if an alarmist news item appears in a computer trade magazine, or if a Confidential U.S. Military communique admits there is a nat'l security risk. He DOES care if there is an impact on him (or someone he knows personally) affecting his economic or recreation situation. When these start to happen, the final panic clock will have started to count down.

www.y2ksafeminnesota.com (new stuff)

-- MinnesotaSmith (y2ksafeminnesota@hotmail.com), August 14, 1999.


Hey Soirry,

Your full of Poly Sh*t. Take the blinders off and open your ears and close your mouth and you just might see that it has already started. It goes down hill from here. Were at 2 on the scale now heading with steam building to that 7 or 8 before 2000 even gets here. You'll see and I will laugh at your lack of preparation.

-- No spam (Nospam@spam.spam), August 14, 1999.


The content of the post over the name No Spam (not to be confused with another poster with a somewhat similar name) appears to be so unrelated to the preceding content of this thread as to be beyond trollish.

Jerry

-- Jerry B (skeptic76@erols.com), August 14, 1999.


sorry try again,

You are absolutely 100% correct in your apprasisal of the post made by St. louis towards the end of July.

It has not turned out like Mr. Louis' intuition said it would. This is not going to be a situation where people can intuitively determine the outcome--unfortunately---!!

-- David Butts (dciinc@aol.com), August 14, 1999.



StLouisLouis predicted that awareness would begin to accelerate, not that panic would immediately set in. The MCI fiasco has affected enough people and businesses that I believe you will see this reflected in some of their actions with regard to y2k preparations in the next 2 to 3 weeks.

Ray

-- Ray (ray@totacc.com), August 14, 1999.


StLouisLouis predicted that awareness would begin to accelerate, not that panic would immediately set in. The MCI fiasco has affected enough people and businesses that I believe you will see this reflected in some of their actions with regard to y2k preparations in the next 2 to 3 weeks.

What he predicted was that the awareness would rise to such a level by August 15, that there would be shortages in supplies and rising prices as a result of people becoming more worried and stocking up.

There are no noticeable shortages, I see no increased awareness or worrying, and the prices of supplies has remained the same. His predictions were wrong.

Your prediction is different, since you've extended the timetable to the next 2 to 3 weeks wherein you feel that they will take action at that time as a result of the MCI incident. I predict that this will also turn out to be false and that the MCI incident will not cause any noticable increase in preparations.

-- (sorry@try.again), August 14, 1999.


Sorry or whoever commented:

"There are no noticeable shortages, I see no increased awareness or worrying, and the prices of supplies has remained the same. His predictions were wrong. "

Well let's see now, are you talking about your little area of the world or do you have a pipeline into Ko-Skin-Ems office. No, StLouisLouis is not wrong. I believe there is an acceleration of awareness and preparations going on right now and that they will be noticable in the next 2 to 3 weeks.

Keep your shirt on "Sorry" and start prepping before you have to start WHINNING!!

Your Pal, Ray

-- Ray (ray@totacc.com), August 14, 1999.


No, StLouisLouis is not wrong. I believe there is an acceleration of awareness and preparations going on right now and that they will be noticable in the next 2 to 3 weeks.

StLouisLouis said they would be noticable now. Not in 2 to 3 weeks. Now. They are not noticable now. Therefore, his prediction was wrong.

You are predicting that it will be noticable in 2 to 3 weeks. That remains to be seen, however I predict that you will be wrong also. Time will tell.

-- (sorry@try.again), August 14, 1999.


Sorry or whoever, as I indicated in my previous post, your judgements are made based on your tiny area of the country.

StLouisLouis IS NOT wrong yet. We will be getting reports in over the next 2 to 3 weeks after which we will be able to decide who is right or wrong. Sounds like you may be afraid of what these reports will disclose.

Your Pal, Ray

-- Ray (ray@totacc.com), August 14, 1999.



I lean towards the doomer side, but I am convinced the government/corporate/media party line will hold right through December. In my suburban area nobody has made preps--and I mean nobody. (Oh, yeah, and I am moving in the next month--Pollyannas can be hazardous to your health!)

-- cgbg jr (cgbgjr@webtv.net), August 14, 1999.

Sorry or whoever, as I indicated in my previous post, your judgements are made based on your tiny area of the country.

My judgements are based on what I've read and heard from a variety of local and national news sources and web sites such as this one. Most of these sources contain nation-wide information. None of them have indicated an increase in preparations. Nor have you brought forth any evidence of increased preparations.

StLouisLouis IS NOT wrong yet.

StLouisLouis is already wrong. He has predicted that increased awareness would cause shortages in supplies and increased prices by the middle of August. It is now the middle of August and no shortages or price increases are evident. His predictions were wrong.

We will be getting reports in over the next 2 to 3 weeks after which we will be able to decide who is right or wrong.

If you get reports in over the next 2 to 3 weeks which show shortages and price increases in supplies, then your prediction will be correct, but StLouisLouis will still be wrong because he predicted that the shortages and price increases would be noticable now.

Sounds like you may be afraid of what these reports will disclose.

Why? Because I actually understand the concept between now and 2 to 3 weeks from now?

-- (sorry@try.again), August 14, 1999.


Ray,

Before you nock the arrow and draw, you might want to check things out. you are a tad out of line in your defense, as the predicitio WAS prety clear.

Chuck who, when he checked last was only functionally TYPING illiterate

-- Chuck, a night driver (rienzoo@en.com), August 16, 1999.


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