NY Times discovers the "Fear Meme" and Aaron Lynch

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http://www.nytimes.com/2001/10/20/arts/television/20LINK.html?todaysheadlines#top

October 20, 2001

CRITIC'S NOTEBOOK

Fear, the New Virus of a Connected Era

By MICHIKO KAKUTANI

In that distant world far, far away that was America before Sept. 11, much was written about how the Internet and cable television were creating a newly fragmented, decentralized world — a culturally splintered world of niche marketing, special-interest publications and identity politics. As one 1990's survey of Internet politics concluded, virtual communities "resemble the semiprivate spaces of modern health clubs more than the public spaces of agoras": "instead of meeting to discuss and debate issues of common concern to the society, members of these virtual communities meet largely to promote their own interests and to reinforce their own like-mindedness."

As a result, the cultural critic David Shenk wrote in his book "Data Smog," "It appears that rather than our world becoming a cozy village, we are instead retreating into an electronic Tower of Babel, a global skyscraper. Instead of gathering us into the town square, the new information technology clusters us into social cubicles. There are fewer central spaces, and not even a common channel."

All this changed in the wake of Sept. 11. The terrorist attacks not only unified the nation in obvious ways — provoking a shared sense of anger and grief, a rallying around the president and the flag, an initial urge to put partisan politics aside — but also created a ripple effect that moved across the land like a tsunami, revealing just how interconnected the country really is.

In the weeks after the World Trade Center disaster, Alaskan fishermen reported a 15 percent drop in the sales of halibut, as high-end restaurant orders contracted and shipments were disrupted by the temporary closing of the Fulton Fish Market in Manhattan. Meatpackers and bakeries in Minnesota and dairy cooperatives in Wisconsin were affected by the decision of Northwest Airlines in the days following the terrorist attacks to cancel most inflight meals. As for shoe manufacturers, one report indicated a 30 percent dip in the sales of high heels and a 40 percent dip in platform-shoe sales, as women — presumably worried about having to run for their lives — began turning to more sensible footwear.

Because all of America was affected by the events of Sept. 11, the Internet and 24-cable news shows quickly assumed the role of electronic town halls. But if those forms of communication initially brought the country together in displays of public grieving — through broadcasts of memorial services and Web site tributes to the victims — they have more lately become national forums for the expression of anxiety.

In the past, television brought the Vietnam conflict home to our living rooms, thereby accelerating, by many accounts, opposition to the war. With the Persian Gulf war, it enhanced an illusion of control and low-risk assault by showing us video- game images of smart bombs precisely destroying their targets. In contrast, the current war in Afghanistan has yielded fewer visuals, and talk on television and the Internet has focused more and more on fears of another terrorist attack at home — fears that have been magnified by the electronic media's dynamic of feedback and iteration.

In the first weeks after Sept. 11, images of the second plane hitting the World Trade Center, along with images of the towers collapsing, were played over and over again on television, goading people to relive those horrors. In the last two weeks (during which the F.B.I. responded to more than 2,300 reports of suspected anthrax or other dangerous substances) a new set of recycled images is being broadcast: shots of anthrax bacteria multiplying in petri dishes, and haz-mat inspectors in gas masks and protective suits examining suspected sites.

With 52 percent of Americans, according to one poll, saying they could imagine themselves or a loved one being victims of a terrorist attack, talk online and onscreen has increasingly revolved around worries of bioterrorism. On MSNBC.com, for instance, people voiced an imaginative array of fears that could easily prove contagious. Someone from Mesa, Ariz., wondered if "terrorists working as production workers" could "contaminate consumer goods" — like cosmetics, vitamins, baby powder — "during manufacture." Someone from Coral Springs, Fla., worried that smallpox could be spread by "suicide disease carriers" walking around and infecting thousands. And someone from Massillon, Ohio, raised the possibility of the white powder used inside latex gloves' being contaminated with anthrax.

False e-mail rumors — ranging from the loony ("Images of the World Trade Center fire reveal the face of Satan!") to the portentous ("blue envelopes from the Klingerman Foundation containing sponges saturated with a deadly virus are being anonymously mailed to random Americans") — began to circulate with such virulence that several Web sites (including snopes2.com and truthorfiction.com) set up special pages to assess the veracity of such terrorist-related "urban legends." And with his "Nightline Fact Check," Ted Koppel has repeatedly tried to debunk widespread e-mails, including one about a woman whose Afghan former boyfriend warned her not to fly on Sept. 11 and not to visit any malls on Oct. 31; and another reporting that more than 30 Ryder, U-Haul and Verizon trucks had been stolen, many by individuals of Arab descent.

"It's like emptying the ocean with a spoon," Mr. Koppel observed. "These are boom times for idiots with a misplaced sense of humor or malice."

They are boom times, of course, because in a day when the F.B.I. itself is issuing ominously vague warnings about imminent terrorist attacks, it's harder to tell legitimate worries from out-and-out paranoia. Given the discovery of anthrax in Florida, New York City, New Jersey and Washington, given the decision of the House of Representatives to adjourn for five days because of an anthrax scare, there is fear now in a handful of dust, in a handful of baby powder or pudding mix or artificial sweetener.

Before Sept. 11, it was easy enough for anyone with a little common sense to shrug off the nuttier rumors and conspiracy theories that flourish on the Net — the Area 51 UFO warnings, the Jimmy Hoffa sightings, the Hale-Bopp comet fantasies of the Heaven's Gate cult — but these days, when things once thought unimaginable (the twin towers' being brought down by hijacked airplanes, anthrax turning up in the mail) have come to pass, it's harder to separate the hysterical from the plausible. Indeed, recent television broadcasts by two usually sober news shows had a sensationalistic, what-if quality to them: "Nightline" staged a fictional scenario about an anthrax attack on a city's subway system, while "60 Minutes" did a segment on the dangers of a terrorist attack on the nation's nuclear power plants.

Uncertainty provides just the sort of environment in which rumors thrive, of course, and the Internet by its very nature tends to incubate ideas that might otherwise fade away. In Marshall McLuhan's terms, the Internet is a "cool" medium — leaving "much to be filled in or completed by the audience" — and by democratizing information, it gives equal weight to the opinions of specialists, ignoramuses and zealots, allowing users to pull in whatever data they want through their computers. Among the things that can be viewed on the Web today are recruitment videos from Al Qaeda and terrorist tradecraft tips from Osama bin Laden's followers, who have proven themselves remarkably adept at using the Internet to spread their message around the world.

What people tend to pull in from the Internet and television are those ideas and images they find most compelling; these "memes" — to use a term coined by the evolutionary biologist Richard Dawkins back in 1976 — then spread from person to person through conversations, e- mails, bulletin boards, chat rooms and instant messages. What makes a meme spread quickly enough to cause a cultural epidemic? In the book "Thought Contagion," Aaron Lynch suggested that anxiety-inducing memes tend to spread more quickly than others, because their carriers are driven by an urgent need to proselytize. And in "The Tipping Point," Malcolm Gladwell argued that the "stickiness" of an idea — its irresistibility — is a crucial factor.

The fear of a Y2K meltdown was a meme that flourished right before the millennium. The vogue for low- riding jeans was a meme that seized hold of teenagers. The fascination with Monica Lewinsky was a meme embraced by the chattering classes in a more innocent time.

The fear of anthrax infection is a very real and legitimate worry in an America still recovering from Sept. 11 and reeling from new reports of exposure. At the same time, however, it is also a remarkably hardy and widespread meme that has taken hold of the nation's collective unconscious — a mind virus spread by word of mouth and amplified by our electronic media, an epidemic that has united the country, but united it in anxiety and dread.



-- Anonymous, October 20, 2001

Answers

"It's like emptying the ocean with a spoon," Mr. Koppel observed. "These are boom times for idiots with a misplaced sense of humor or malice."

They are boom times, of course, because in a day when the F.B.I. itself is issuing ominously vague warnings about imminent terrorist attacks, it's harder to tell legitimate worries from out-and-out paranoia. Given the discovery of anthrax in Florida, New York City, New Jersey and Washington, given the decision of the House of Representatives to adjourn for five days because of an anthrax scare, there is fear now in a handful of dust, in a handful of baby powder or pudding mix or artificial sweetener.

Before Sept. 11, it was easy enough for anyone with a little common sense to shrug off the nuttier rumors and conspiracy theories that flourish on the Net — the Area 51 UFO warnings, the Jimmy Hoffa sightings, the Hale-Bopp comet fantasies of the Heaven's Gate cult — but these days, when things once thought unimaginable (the twin towers' being brought down by hijacked airplanes, anthrax turning up in the mail) have come to pass, it's harder to separate the hysterical from the plausible. Indeed, recent television broadcasts by two usually sober news shows had a sensationalistic, what-if quality to them: "Nightline" staged a fictional scenario about an anthrax attack on a city's subway system, while "60 Minutes" did a segment on the dangers of a terrorist attack on the nation's nuclear power plants.



-- Anonymous, October 20, 2001

Here's another from the Washington Post

-- Anonymous, October 20, 2001

" Uncertainty provides just the sort of environment in which rumors thrive, of course, and the Internet by its very nature tends to incubate ideas that might otherwise fade away. In Marshall McLuhan's terms, the Internet is a "cool" medium — leaving "much to be filled in or completed by the audience" — and by democratizing information, it gives equal weight to the opinions of specialists, ignoramuses and zealots, allowing users to pull in whatever data they want through their computers."

Any Marshall McLuhan buffs out there? It's been a long time but my recollection is that he considered media that required "filling in or completed by the audience" to be "hot" (such as radio and print) whereas he considered TV and movies to be "cool" media because everything was spelled out for a passive viewer. If the Internet had been around then, I think he would have described it as "hot".

-- Anonymous, October 20, 2001


I've recently finished Thought Contagion, and it's a rather disappointing text - in many cases, Lynch generalizes fairly heavily. My heaviest complaint, however, is that the model he postulates allows for no mutation - memes, at least as Lynch describes them, propagate but generally do not change (he provides several models for propagation, but none for mutation, which irks). Now, given that Thought Contagion is intended as a popularizer, rather than a scholarly text, I may be judging Lynch too harshly by association. Unfortunately, memetics, as put forward in the books, really seems to be warmed-over evolutionary psychology and doesn't really provide an adequate model of describing how hysteria spreads so heavily on the internet.

However, Lynch's _Data Smog_ is an excellent text on information overload, the only other one I've found useful was Patricia Wallace's _The Psychology Of The Internet_. The major problem I had with Wallace's stuff is that she focuses a little too heavily on MUDs which I always think of as kind of the Anna Kournikova of internet discourse - they get a lot of attention, but they're not where the real (inter)action is. Unless you're Sergei Federov...

-- Anonymous, October 21, 2001


MPC,

You are quite correct. I will leave it to the Academic Peers to judge A.Lynch's work. He was correct about Y2k FUD but whether such ideas have a "General Solution" (to borrow a phrase from Differential Equations) and a "general case" can be modeled, remains to be shown.

In most cases, the Meme Mutations are the very thing that prevents the weird from becoming "mass movements" (in most cases). This is the reality of group interactions and the basis of politics. Most of the Weirdo things are more or less self-correcting. This is why Cults stay "cults" and minor fragments of the political spectrum remain ignored no matter how loud they scream nor how much money they have. H.L. Hunt tossed many millions away trying to promote HIS "idea of freedoms" and who even remembers him today beside his family and the people who deal in historic curiousities. The same will be said for the "environmentalists" and the "peaceniks" and the assorted Basket Weavers of 1968 who now sing a far different song since WTC or risk losing ALL the little credibility they have.

But there are some that do not "Mutate" and rather remain in tact. We see the repeat play of all the Slogans from the 1970s "Oil Shortages" even to the point of D. Yergin coming out from under his rock with a replay of "Energy Futures" (though he at least had the sense not to republish it or "update" it ala YourToast).

It is rather remarkable also that the "Green Movement" maintains that ALL its Credos are TRUE no matter what has or has not happened for the last 25 years. No matter what, they will simply insist "we can't sustain ourselves".

The first Web enabled Meme that did not mutate but merely changed its PR tactics was clearly, "Y2k Preparedness" (NOT the Computer problem which most of the original scare mongers modified their views on ((though some of the latter day saints who came to milk it (YourToast and St. Lean) never modified.

However, the fascination of the Doomzie/Leftist alliance over Y2k FEAR and FUD Movement (complete with a cookbook from "Sallie", friend of Paula) was the fact that so many diverse pressure groups bought into the Y2k Meme and promulgated it almost intact. Even as time moved along from the height of the movement in late 1998 and through '99, they merely discarded or ignored ANY EVIDENCE that contradicted the Founding Principles of the Y2k End Times scenarios that were originally outlined by Duct Tape, Hyatt and Yore-Toast-ED (and in Brer Gary's case, mostly based on his notes from former "crisis" he had whipped up almost completely true to those outlines. "Domino Effect", "fragile infrastructure", lack of time, lack of resources, lack of will because of the Traitor Don't Get Its (DGIs) and so on ad infin.



-- Anonymous, October 21, 2001



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