http://www.prospect.org/print-friendly/print/V12/18/deffeyes-k.html

Another Wolf at the Door Kenneth S. Deffeyes

Global oil production will probably reach a peak sometime during this decade. After the peak, the world's production of crude oil will fall, never to rise again. The world will not run out of energy, but developing alternative energy sources on a large scale will take at least 10 years. In the meantime, there will be chaos in the oil industry, in governments, and in national economies. What will happen to the rest of us? In a sense, the oil crises of the 1970s and 1980s were a laboratory test. We were the lab rats. You might remember it. Most Americans' real standard of living dropped progressively lower for several years. And those crises were far less severe than what's coming this time.

No Blood for Oil Pipeline Routes www.aci.net/kalliste/pipelinemap.gif www.bushnews.com/oil.htm http://atimes.com/global-econ/CJ06Dj01.html US wants central Asian oil fields www.narconews.com/goff1.html war is about controlling last oil fields to be tapped www.alternet.org/story.html?StoryID=11692 www.mod.uk/index.php3?page=2461

www.indiareacts.com/Story33.htm June article US - Russia alliance to fight Taliban

www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=/chronicle/archive/2001/09/26/MN70983.DTL

www.counterpunch.org/pipermail/counterpunch-list/2001-October/015132.html

www.house.gov/international_relations/105th/ap/wsap212982.htm UNOCAL testimony

www.themoscowtimes.com/stories/2001/10/12/107.html $4 trillion of oil

www.hindu.com/thehindu/2001/10/13/stories/05132524.htm

-- mark (mrobinowitz@igc.nospam.org), October 17, 2001

Answers

Personally, I think we're going to have a big world wide oil crisis well before the ten year mark, mostly due to the instability of Saudi Arabia.

-- Billiver (billiver@aol.com), October 17, 2001.