> Earth Changes Archives > Fantastic Article On Earthquake Fore Casting << Prev Topic | Author Comment Maggie MM Registered User Posts: 16 (1/20/01 5:40:34 pm) Reply | Edit | Del All Fantastic Article On Earthquake Fore Casting -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The site has a lot of hot links to the subjects below.

www.teleport.com/~bfryer/ by Bob Fryer

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Dedication This page is dedicated to the children who died in the hospital collapse in Mexico City (Sept. 19, 1985) and to the children who died in their classrooms during the Armenian earthquake (Dec. 7, 198 . Warning technology has been withheld.

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Earthquake Paradox

Our technology has put men on the moon, robots on Mars, and sent space craft beyond the outer planets. Radio signals from those devices have allowed us to construct unforgetable pictures. Recently the Keck telescope in Hawaii captured enough light to produce an image of a galaxy that is 12 Billion light-years away; it had been detected earlier by radio telescopes.

Isn't it odd that we are only just learning to detect the signals from beneath our feet, the signals which tell animals, and some people, that an earthquake is about to occur?

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BULLETIN:

About "A Sense of Disaster" on The Discovery Channel To be repeated on Saturday, September 4th

"A Sense of Disaster," a documentary about earthquake prediction sciences outside of the seismological straitjacket, has been rebroadcast on The Discovery Channel. Taped by Granada TV in 1998, the producers covered a wide range of events and efforts that could be described as "hidden science."

A Sense of Disaster continued

Earthquake sensitives appeared on PBS Early in 1999 two California earthquake sensitive ladies appeared in the documentary The Savage Earth. They reported on their symptoms and other signs that have provided significant successes in forecasting temblors. We will report further on these people with whom we have been corresponding for more than two years.

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About VAN and SES

VAN Method Bibliography

IGNORANCE, EVACUATION, or PANIC?, An Editorial

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Charlotte's Syndrome Implications for Earthquake Warning Systems, Perception, and High Temperature Superconductivity, as Derived from Investigations into Charlotte's Syndrome.

The bizarre case of Charlotte King, who "hears" the Earth, yields valuable insights into perception, physics, and the geo-sciences. Fourteen years of investigation have produced models for Charlotte's sensitivity to earthquake precursory signals, which seem to be generated in perovskites, as a result of tectonically induced piezoelectricity. We propose that the signals can be monitored, recorded, and analyzed in a manner that will provide real-time warnings of large earthquakes and volcanic eruptions. This would be analogous to weather forecasting and storm warning systems, with similar attendant difficulties. Recent related developments, in high temperature superconductivity, in biological sensitivity to magnetic fields, in technology, and in geophysics, are explored.

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Electromagnetic Heresy Jerry Gallimore knew a great deal about the signals which came from the earth before an earthquake. About 1973, he had invented a device which measured the signals; it could be used to predict earthquakes. Gallimore explained that the earth signals were due, in part, to electrical superconductivity in the rocks.

Under the right conditions, temperature was not a factor; a proper device would superconduct at room temperature. Why? Electrical resistance results from competition between electricity and a second energy. A bi-metallic conductor solves the problem. If you use a copper sheath to encase a core of bismuth, a powerful diamagnetic, the second energy will migrate to the core (Maxwell's Displacement); this leaves the copper clear for the electrons. The magnetic field forms a standing wave outside of the conductor (the Meissner effect).

References Hazen, Robert M., Perovskites, Scientific American, v258, n6, June 1988, pp74-81. "Many of the new high-temperature superconductors belong to a family of ceramics called perovskites... natural minerals... common in the earth... The adaptable... structure gives rise to... a wide array of electrical properties. Some change shape when exposed to electromagnetic fields." They are similar to the minerals in the speakers and microphones of telephones. (See page 76.)

Laguës, Michel, et al. "Evidence Suggesting Superconductivity at 250 K in a Sequentially Deposited Cuprate Film," Science, v262, 17 December 1993, pp1850-1852. - Superconductivity observed at -10 deg. F.; French team used a layered structure, nearly matching Gallimore's technique. Evidently, they did not understand why it worked; thus, no one seems to have followed up. The layering limits intrusion of magnetic fields and eliminates the requirement for pinning. (See Paul C.W. Chu.)

Radaelli, P.G., et al., "Synthesis and Properties of a Cuprate Superconductor Containing Double Mercury-Oxygen Layers," Science, v265, pp380-383, 15 July 1994. - Hg2Ba2Y1-xCaxCu2O8-&, has relative w/ calcium that is an insulator. "All known copper based superconductors have layered structures,..."

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The Meissner Effect as a precursor in Japan, 1855 A shopkeeper in Edo (Tokyo) had a large horseshoe magnet on display as a conversation piece. Several iron objects had been placed on the magnet to demonstrate its strength. One day the objects fell; the magnet had failed. Several hours later a large earthquake struck. The iron objects were again attracted to the magnet. (Rikitake; Tributsch)

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What is the difference between nuclear tests and earthquakes? Bombs Don't Give Warnings . . . .

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The Northridge, CA, Earthquake, January 1994 Elizabeth Rauscher, Ph.D. & William L. Van Bise, Electrical Engineer

Rauscher and Van Bise called the "Earthquake prediction registry" at the Library of Congress on January 8, 1994 to report impending events likely to occur witin 30 days. Unique signals indicated that quakes would occur in or near the Los Angeles area. The Northridge quake struck on January 17th. Unusual surges of signals from 3.8 to 4.0 Hz were recorded beginning two weeks before the quake.

Dr. Rauscher and Mr. Van Bise were prominently quoted in Angels Don't Play This HAARP by Begich and Manning, pages 69 to 75.

The Landers, CA, M7.5 forecast, June 1992 Elizabeth Rauscher, Ph.D. & William L. Van Bise, Electrical Engineer An International Workshop was held at Lake Arrowhead, California, June 14-17, 1992, with the title, "LOW FREQUENCY ELECTRICAL PRECURSORS: FACT OR FICTION?" Rauscher, a particle physicist and former science advisor to the United Nations, and Van Bise presented a paper on measurements of ELF signals. Rauscher announced that a magnitude 7 or greater earthquake would strike "in the region of the conference, very soon." On June 28th the Landers quake, M7.5, struck 44 miles east of the conference site; several hours later Big Bear Lake, only 20 miles east, was hit by a M6.6 temblor. They were able to focus on the area, timing, and strength because of extensive contacts with Charlotte King. They used an array of antennae, located near Reno, Nevada, to pick up signals at 3.8 cycles per second. Details were presented at Tokyo in September 1993.

The April 1992 California Quakes Charlotte King was taped by the "Good Evening" crew (KGW-TV, Portland), giving warning before the April 22, Joshua Tree M6.3 shaker; then, she predicted the Cape Mendocino earthquakes of Saturday and Sunday, April 25th (M7.1) and 26th (M6.6; M6.7). On Monday she warned that, "It's not over yet," for Southern California. The tape aired on Monday, April 27, 1992.

The Tokyo International Workshop, 1993: Tokyo, Japan, September 6-8, 1993, where Bise and Rauscher's presentation was "Ambient Electromagnetic Fields as Possible Seismic and Volcanic Precursors."

References: A selected bibliography.

Hayakawa, M. and Y. Fujinawa (Eds.), Electromagnetic Phenomena Related to Earthquake Prediction, Tokyo: Terra Scientific Publishing Co., 1994. 677 pp. Proceedings of International Workshop, 6-8 September 1993, The University of Electro-Communications, Chofu, Tokyo, Japan.

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Magnetic Pulse When a volcanic eruption started nearly anywhere in the world, Charlotte King felt abdominal pain. With Mt. Saint Helens, the strong pains doubled her over. When the mountain erupted on May 18, 1980, she suffered a minor stroke. This was reported in her 1981 appearance on the TV show, "That's Incredible!"

References Mueller, R.J. and M.J.S. Johnston, Large-scale magnetic field perturbation arising from the 18 May 1980 eruption of Mount St. Helens, Washington, Physics of the Earth and Planetary Interiors, Vol. 57, pp. 23-31, 1989. - "A traveling magnetic field disturbance was detected on an 800-km linear array of recording magnetometers installed along the San Andreas fault system in California, from San Francisco to the Salton Sea."

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GEO-MONITOR This Newsletter fills an important gap in the efforts to make earthquake warnings a reality. It emerged from the amateur radio community where people have been picking up odd signals for many years. Of particular value, is the sharing of many techniques and instruments being used in basements and garages all over California and into the Midwest. It is now possible for high school and junior high students to set up their own monitoring stations. Tied together by computer, these kids will have the potential to play a major role before "THE BIG ONE" hits. GEO-MONITOR, was founded by Vince Migliore of Santa Clara, California.

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The United States Psychotronics Association (USPA) USPA link: www.psychotronics.org Information is available from USPA, P.O. Box 354, Wilmette, IL 60091-0354. Audio and video tapes of presentations are available.

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Electrogravitic Reference Files from Robert Stirniman. A multitude of Stirniman's references apply directly to the work of Jerry Gallimore -- look especially at the work of Dr. Ning Li (in Parts 2, 3, & 4).

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We may be reached at: bfryer@teleport.com. Many of our files have been available at CompuServe Id: 72164,2537 since 1994.

Maggie MM Registered User Posts: 17 (1/20/01 5:48:18 pm) Reply | Edit | Del Re: Fantastic Article On Earthquake Fore Casting -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- September 22, 2000 Radio Stargazer's Key to Quakes

WAVE FLUX AN EARLY WARNING SIGNAL?

By REIJI YOSHIDA Staff writer

Astronomer Yoshio Kushida believes he will receive forewarning should a major earthquake hit. "I am absolutely confident," he said when asked about predicting a major quake in the Tokyo metropolitan area.

"(The signs of) all major earthquakes that have occurred could have been observed," Kushida said in a recent interview at his private observatory in Yamanashi Prefecture.

On the night of Jan. 14, 1995, an FM radio receiver began recording an extraordinary baseline fluctuation at Kushida's Yatsugatake South Base Observatory.

Kushida didn't realize it was the day that would totally change his life.

He was recording radio echoes in the very-high-frequency band to observe the passage of meteors through the atmosphere.

Kushida was at a loss that night, believing the machine was malfunctioning.

The thickness of the baseline, usually about 1 mm, was more than 2 mm on the nights of Jan. 15, 16 and 17, leaving Kushida puzzled. But in the early morning of Jan. 17, he realized the hidden message in the signal.

He turned pale when he switched on the TV. Breaking news told him that a major earthquake, measuring a magnitude of 7.2, struck Kobe and southern Hyogo Prefecture at 5:46 a.m. The earthquake led to the loss of more than 6,400 lives, destroyed 248,410 structures and left 446,485 households homeless.

"I was overwhelmed by a sense of self-reproach. If only if I had studied more closely when I found (the baseline phenomenon) two years earlier," Kushida wrote in the book "Jishin Yoho-ni Idomu" ("The Challenges of Earthquake Prediction"), published Sept. 1.

In 1993, after roughly examining the correlation between abnormal electric waves and earthquakes, Kushida was convinced that some fluctuating patterns in the VHF band appear several days before an earthquake.

But Kushida, who had no expertise on earthquakes at the time, didn't pay much attention to the data. He thought seismologists probably already knew about the phenomenon, but in the end, that was not the case.

Most seismologists think that accurate prediction of earthquakes is almost impossible, let alone early warning. But Kushida, through carefully observing the phenomena over the past five years, has continued his studies to challenge the common notion about earthquake prediction.

Analyzing radio echoes from a number of FM stations across the country, Kushida believes he has found five basic wave patterns that appear several days before a major earthquake.

From January 1997 to September 1999, using these patterns, Kushida predicted specific dates, strengths and locations of the focus of 36 major earthquakes measuring a magnitude of 5 or stronger.

The average margin of error in the dates predicted was 1.97 days.

As for location, Kushida now claims he can specify the focus of most earthquakes within a radius of 50 km.

"I think (the accuracy) is practical enough," he said.

Some seismologists have argued that the results could be a coincidence because earthquakes occur very often in the Japanese archipelago.

But the Institute of Physical and Chemical Research, a major quasi-governmental think tank, independently examined the correlation between earthquakes and Kushida's predictions and concluded the results were not random.

"(The correlation) has much significance," said Toshiyasu Nagao, director at the institute's Earthquake Prediction Research Center, which now supports Kushida's project.

But what is the mechanism that causes this presaging of an earthquake in VHF radio echoes?

Kushida's system was originally designed to observe meteors by catching radio echoes from a commercial FM radio station.

According to Kushida's hypothesis, before an earthquake, electric charges accumulate on the Earth's surface due to the generation of numerous microcracks in magma.

The charge and discharge process of a capacitor formed with the Earth's surface and the ionosphere changes density of electric plasma in the ionosphere, and the phenomenon is observed by the FM receiver.

Indeed, it has been long known to scientists that some electromagnetic phenomena appear before an earthquake on the Earth's surface.

In Greece, scientists have conducted studies on the prediction of earthquakes for more than 10 years based on the theory that solid matter emits an electric current just before it breaks down.

The reliability of the method, however, is still a focus of debate by seismologists, although the scientists conducting the test claim the success rate is about 60 percent.

Kushida recalled that seismologists' response to his method was not good when he first held a press conference and contributed to an article in a spring 1995 physics magazine.

After five years of studies, many seismologists -- many of whom have little knowledge of the ionosphere or electromagnetism -- remain skeptical, or simply ignore Kushida's achievements.

Kushida now only publicizes his analysis and predictions to people who have subscribed to his fax service, believing open publication of his predictions would only cause confusion or panic.

"What would you do about nuclear power plants, or railway service if a major earthquake is forecast to hit? You may want to stop them, but there is no legal basis (to support such actions). There is nothing I can do," Kushida said.

Kushida said he cannot take responsibility for possible results of his predictions, as they still contain a margin of error.

Much more public understanding, legislation for early warning systems and more efforts to improve accuracy will be necessary before advance publication of earthquake information will be possible, he said.

But interested parties can subscribe to Kushida's fax service if they sign an oath not to leak the information to other people or use it for secondary purposes.

For further information, access www.yatsugatake-eorc.org/ or send a fax to the observatory at (0551) 38-4254.

The Japan Times: Sept. 19, 2000

-- Kona (konaal2000@yahoo.com), July 11, 2001