This is posted by DD' on bj_misc in an interesting thread where BrH is participating. It is entitled It can be proven that

That using a more tame spread to reduce the risk of trip ruin does not increase long term expectation. The increased ev of having more hours played per trip does not offset the reduced ev from the less aggressive betting. It can be shown that you should continue to bet in proportion to your total bank, for what ever total ROR you find appropriate, regardless of how likely you may be to go broke on a trip, or how early in the trip it may be. The guy who goes broke early and spends the rest of the trip in his hotel room watching TV surprisingly will make more money over 100 such trips than the guy who bets conservatively in order to try to make his money last for the duration.

Anyone agree, disagree? Either way, it's an interesting subject because we have been involved in this line of thinking ourselves before.

David

-- Anonymous, May 06, 2000