Y2K poll

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USA today poll on Y2K bug: Trouble expected: 64:3%exactly what they expected. Http://usatoday.com/

-- Notforlong (Fsur439@aol.com), January 06, 2000

Answers

Poll results so far:

http://www.usatoday.com/life/cyber/question/answer27.htm

How accurate were your expectations of the Y2K glitch's impact in the USA?

64.2% The outcome was exactly what I expe

27.0% I expected more trouble.

7.6% We've yet to feel the brunt of the

1.1% I expected less trouble.

Total Votes: 1144

-- Linkmeister (link@librarian.edu), January 06, 2000.


Does 'I dunno.' fit in there?

I didn't know...I always hope for the best. Experience, however, has taught me to expect the worst.

-- Satanta (EventHoriz@n.com), January 06, 2000.


Morons. Its 'death by a thousand cuts', I'm seeing dozens of problems, more every day. We'll find out in a few more weeks if its 'critical mass' or not.

-- Dan G (thepcguru@hotmail.com), January 06, 2000.

If one person gets a thousand paper cuts, or a thousand people get one paper cut; is that the same thing?

-- Moron (moron@moron.com), January 06, 2000.

Dan just like you probably believe that Elvis is still alive or that aliens walk among us here on this great spinning planet of love, the death by a thousand cuts is just the latest flavor of the doom crowd. It's hilarious that you would call others who don't put any faith in your babblings 'morons'. Haven't you learned your lesson yet? Are you going to hold your breath until we all adhere to your baloney-padded logic?

The truth has been stated thousand-fold here: the date rollover did not provide TEOTWAWKI. And as such, all other problems coming down the pike are manageable and consistent with things which for the most part take place every day in the business world.

Get a clue.

-- Bad Company (johnny@shootingstar.com), January 06, 2000.



Bad company, sorry, got to disagree.

The "thousand cuts" has been one of the concerns for well over a year.

We had a SERIES of potential problems. I can and do change my areas of concern with new evidence.

So, thankfully, the power stayed on. I prepared as if it would go off, but was not really convinced it would. The fact that it stayed on at rollover does not eliminate potential problems with data corruption and supply lines (if the VERY fragmentary info/rumors on trains we are hearing is correct).

The fact that embedded chips didn't fry us doesn't change the time line for watching for Mainframe troubles. The problems are simply separate from each other.

So, I'm a happy camper at this time, back to working without worrying about a 01-01-2000 meltdown........

STILL keeping my eyes open on the other issues. April 1, no problems, I'll be pretty well convinced this is over. 07-01-2000, I will be completely convinced. What is the rush? We can get on with life, while keeping our eyes open.

-- mushroom (mushroom_bs_too_long@yahoo.com), January 06, 2000.


Do you know what the problem here is? Most of us doomers are a bunch of amateurs when it comes to using scientific methods to arrive at conclusions. Look guys, we used the "belive the experts blindly" approach and we bombed out, royally. So lets stop re-hashing the same old tired arguments without subjecting them to some scrutiny.

I'm a doomer and sliently hoped the world would be shaken at its foundations for a few weeks because of the "Different stmuli, Different response" theory. Best that could have happened was that the wester world would have been shaken out of its lust for more and more - a, la David Suzuki. Well it aint gonna happen. Ok, I can live with that and I've got enough variatey in my stockpile to keep me eating the way I used to for 6 months or so.

But now we are into figuring out where this beast called y2k went and hid and lets not predict this using the same flawed approach we used pre y2k. Lets remember those who don't study history are doomed to repeat it.

So from another post, for example, we have the following said:

During the conference, a representative of the U.S. Small Business Administration (SBA) said there are 24 million small businesses in this country, with "small business" being defined as any company with 500 employees or less. When we reach January 2000, according to the SBA, approximately 8 million of these small businesses will be fully ready for Y2K, 8 million will have done enough repair work to muddle through, and 8 million will have done nothing to address the problem and will be at risk of failure.

Ok lets pick this appart rather than swallow it whole blindly and choke on it again later. I submit the following:

The 8m that will be ready probably have between 20-500 employees and therefore use a serious number of IT systems such that failure would cause a sever problem which is why they have prepared.

The 8m that will muddle through probably have between 3-20 employees and again will be ok since they probably can resort to manual payrolls etc. and "muddle through" as was suggested.

The 8m that did nothing probably have between 1-2 employees and are home based businesses (they are included in these stats) that basically have a PC with the usual suite of e-mail etc. and can fix all that quickly if it fails, i.e. they will obviously be in FOF mode (easily running on manual mode until failuers are fixed), but I am willing to bet that not one of those "businesses" will go bankrupt because of y2k because the just don't have "mission critical" applications that affect hundreads or thousands of customers. Those that do have failuers (because not all 8m will) will just have a bit of trouble putting out reports, letters and the like for a few days till they fix the PC, software etc. or just buy another one and get on with life.

So lets not get all fired up about these "small businesses" causing massive unemployement etc.

Time for the doomers to wake up a bit and realize, it will not be death by a thousand knives, but sort of like being eaten alive by a thousand ducks. It sure going to feel bad while they try, but it just aint going to happen in the end.

-- Interested Spectator (is@the_ring.side), January 06, 2000.


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