Somehow, I knew I was going to fuck up my html. I'm good with Access,
and a pro with Excel, but I suck at web publishing. Sorry.
Here's the addresses:
uly 1999 Russian Oil and Gas Exports Fact Sheet
http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cabs/rusexp.html
September 1998 Russia: Energy Situation Update
http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cabs/russar.html#TAB1
Caspian Maps and Graphs
http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cabs/caspgrph.html#TAB3
Germany, Ukraine, Italy, Poland and Czech
http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cabs/germany.html
http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cabs/ukraine.html
http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cabs/italy.html
http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cabs/poland.html
http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cabs/czech.html
Gershwins
testimony http://www.senate.gov/~y2k/hearings/991013/st991013gershwin.
htm
Other International Testimony
http://www.senate.gov/~y2k/hearings/991013/
Senate 100 day report
http://www.senate.gov/~y2k/documents/100dayrpt/
Gogertys testimony
http://www.senate.gov/~y2k/hearings/991013/gogerty_intl.pdf
Y2K Russian Style - Stanislav Lunev
http://216.46.238.34/articles/?a=1999/10/26/34625
Koskys Statements
http://chicagotribune.com/version1/article/0,1575,SAV -
9904220173,00.html
And here's those stories for educational use only:
116--US State Department takes Y2K measures for Russia, others
Washington (Platt's)--1Nov1999/108 pm EST/1808 GMT
The US State Department will allow non-essential employees and
their family members to leave Russia, Belarus and Ukraine prior
to Jan 1 because of fears of year 2000 computer problems. "In
particular, we are concerned about potential disruptions of
energy supplies that may impact the health and safety of US
citizens" living or traveling in those countries, the State
Department said in an Oct 29 advisory, adding "prolonged
disruptions in energy supplies in Russia could put other systems
dependent on electrical power at risk." US embassies and
consulates in Russia, Belarus and Ukraine will remain open and
available to provide emergency assistance for US citizens, the
State Department said.
--Platt's Global Alert--
[0116] [GM] [N] [QQ]
No millennium bug chaos in Russia, says official
By Michael Steen
MOSCOW, Nov 2 (Reuters) - The official charged with handling
the millennium computer bug problem for Russia said on Tuesday
he could "boldly declare" his nation safe, although the atomic
power agency said there might be minor systems glitches.
The United States has said Russia is "somewhat prepared" to
prevent potential mayhem when computers across the globe switch
their date to January 1, 2000.
Experts worry that older computers controlling systems from
nuclear power stations to automatic teller machines might get
confused with the two zeros at the end of 2000 and cause chaos.
"I can boldly declare that nothing anywhere near as terrible
will happen as we are presently being frightened with," said
Russian Deputy Prime Minister Ilya Klebanov.
As well as being charged with Y2K problems, Klebanov is in
charge of Russia's defence industry.
"That said, we are taking precautionary measures," he told
Ekho Moskvy radio.
Klebanov said Russians would notice nothing more than the
results of the odd "non-critical" system malfunctioning.
U.S. authorities have signalled concerns about Russian
readiness for the onset of the millennium bug by allowing
non-essential embassy staff in Moscow to take leave.
U.S. officials have warned that basic services such as heat,
water and telephones may not work. Klebanov said there was no
reason for anyone to avoid Moscow over the New Year.
"What is there to fear in Moscow? The ministry for nuclear
power has reported that the problem is solved. Moscow energy
authorities will (also) solve it by mid-December," he said.
However, RIA news agency quoted the state-owned company
which runs most of Russia's nuclear power stations as saying
that some auxiliary systems might be affected on December 31.
It quoted Rosenergoatom as saying it found no problems with
the safety of main atomic power generating units but auxiliary
systems, including power supply units, might be affected.
Rosenergoatom was not immediately available to clarify its
reported remarks nor how problems at the power supply units
might affect the operation of the power stations as a whole.
Klebanov also played down any worries with Russia's nuclear
weapons arsenal, the world's second largest.
Russian and U.S. military personnel have agreed to spend New
Year's Eve sitting side by side in a missile command centre in
Colorado to prevent either side thinking the other has launched
any of the missiles in their massive nuclear arsenals.
[G] [C] [D] [E] [M] [O] [T] [U] [MTL] [GRO] [SOF] [OIL] [CGO] [RNP]
[RU]
[NEWS] [EMRG] [EEU] [ASIA] [EUROPE] [US] [Y2K] [SCI] [AER] [LEN]
[RTRS]
TABLE-Russia Jan-Oct oil output/exports detailed
MOSCOW, Nov 2 (Reuters) - Russia's crude oil and gas
condensate output rose in the first 10 months of this year to
253.413 million tonnes from 252.549 million tonnes in January to
October 1998, the Fuel and Energy Ministry said on Wednesday.
But crude oil exports to destinations outside the
Commonwealth of Independent States fell to 93.801 million tonnes
from 98.554 million tonnes in the same period last year.
The following preliminary data was supplied by the Central
Dispatch Unit of Russia's Ministry of Fuel and Energy. All
figures are in million tonnes.
RUSSIAN JANUARY-OCTOBER CRUDE OIL, GAS CONDENSATE
OUTPUT/NON-CIS CRUDE OIL EXPORTS
1999 1998
LUKoil* 44.440/13.351 44.322/16.668
Surgutneftegaz 31.096/10.160 29.202/11.832
YUKOS 28.338/12.198 28.389/ 9.563
Tatneft 20.032/ 6.375 20.427/ 6.675
Tyumen 16.600/ 5.228 16.439/ 5.964
SIDANKO** 16.232/ 3.983 16.671/ 5.036
Sibneft 13.658/ 4.357 14.521/ 4.876
Bashneft 10.255/ 3.238 10.767/ 3.083
Rosneft 10.434/ 4.414 10.587/ 5.391
Slavneft 9.934/ 3.394 9.812/ 3.793
Eastern Oil*** 8.757/ 0.315 8.937/ 3.023
Gazprom 8.125/ 1.543 7.837/ 1.868
Onako 6.633/ 1.768 6.569/ 1.577
KomiTEK 3.020/ 1.251 2.905/ 1.196
Rostopprom 0.295/ 0.088 0.287/ 0.069
Grozneft 0.126/ 0.0 0.818/ 0.566
Ingushneftekhimgazprom 0.115/ 0.104 0.100/ 0.083
Small Russian producers 7.640/ 2.619 7.470/ 3.744
Companies with foreign
shareholding 17.440/ 7.222 16.166/ 7.521
Total Russia through Transneft 253.413/90.575 252.549/96.106
Transit through Russia
Azerbaijan 1.663 1.980
Kazakhstan 6.534 2.866
Turkmenistan 0.576 0.0
Total Transneft 99.348 100.952
Routes other than Transneft**** 3.226 2.448
Total exports 102.574 103.400
* LUKoil's oil and gas condensate output data does not
include production by LUKoil's joint ventures operating in
Russia.
** Bankrupt SIDANKO unit Kondpetroleum, which produced 2.084
million tonnes in Jan-Oct 1999, down from 2.136 million in the
same period in 1998, was bought in October by Tyumen Oil Company
*** Controlled by YUKOS.
**** Some companies export crude by sea tankers, filling them
at ports close to offshore oilfields, or by rail, so bypassing
Transneft, the Russian crude oil pipeline monopoly.
((Moscow Newsroom, +7 095 941-8520 moscow
newsroom@reuters.com))
UK companies see perils in Russian ventures
By Dominic Evans
LONDON, Nov 2 (Reuters) - British companies venturing into
Russia's post-communist business world face perilous challenges
from the country's economic woes, rampant corruption and a
confused legal framework, businessmen told MPs on Tuesday.
They said Russia's tortuous road to a market economy had
only just begun and compared Western investors in Russia to
pioneering frontiersmen.
"Certainly it sometimes feels like the Indians are circling
the wagons," BP Amoco's Director of Government Affairs
Howard Chase told parliament's foreign affairs committee.
Chase said corruption in Russia "reaches deeply into the
fabric" of government and business, while the troubled economy
suffered from a chronic lack of investment.
Resistance to competition remained among the elite, as did
suspicion of foreign ownership in business, he added.
Companies trying to establish a footing in the Russian
Federation faced complex and often contradictory legislation.
"'Maze' is a kind description of the legalities you have to
fight," he told the committee.
Many investors had overestimated the country's capacity to
switch almost overnight from a command to a demand economy.
"Money was tipped into Russia at a greater rate than the
market could productively use it," he said.
Barclays Bank's Group Risk Director Alan Brown
agreed businesses may have piled into Russia too fast.
"We were over-optimistic. (Western companies) participated
in trying to finance a rate of change which was unsustainable,"
said Brown.
Barclays closed its representative office in Russia in June
and says business, both in money transfers and bank accounts,
has fallen.
Few business representatives saw signs of a swift upturn in
Russia's economic fortunes.
"Russia is frequently referred to as Tomorrow Land. I would
not now go out and say to companies go out and invest in
Russia," said David Cant, executive director of the
Russo-British Chamber of Commerce. "That would be
irresponsible."
"But, done by companies with their eyes open, it can pay
off," he said.
David Riley of the International credit rating agency Fitch
IBCA said there were particular concerns over lack of government
control over spending by state departments.
He predicted Russia's economy, now roughly the size of
Denmark's in terms of GDP, was likely in the near future "to
trundle along the bottom with periodic crises".
"It is not an economic superpower. That it has the potential
is clear...but there is much that has to be done in terms of
transformation," he said.
-- Gordon (g_gecko_69@hotmail.com), November 02, 1999.
Gordo,
I think you might be right but I'm skeptical.
I've endured 6 different month+ trips into Russia, Ukraine and E
Europe studying the post commie oil biz. I've worked with Kortes
(formerly the largest Russian private oil info co.), the Hermes
Group, the Moscow Oil Exchange and had numerous Moscow meetings with
TransNeft, Neste, Sidanko, Mark Rich's group and several others. I
was the US rep for Valeri Neverov, Vladimir Moryzhenkov, the Hermes
Group for years and did business plans for them on their NYMEX seat
acquisition and their international expansion.
Here's why I think they might be OK and I'll concede its
unfortunately based on one Moscow area refinery tour. The whole
refinery was archaic - like 40s and 50s technologies. It was
originally built in '38 and nothing was newer that a cat cracker
installed in '83. IT WAS ALL ANALOG. I didn't see any electronics. It
had maybe 20 to 30 times the staffing of a western refinery. I was
told their pipelines are the same way-ANALOG, gagues, pumps, meters,
everything. Most of the product still goes out by railcar! Another
vulnerability would be their power grid. I can't comment on that but
if any country is used to unstable electricity, its Russia.
I really don't know. My contacts over there went south with the '98
Ruble crisis and my corresponding compensation crisis but I thought
I'd interject my limited, ugly experience over there. I actually
think a place like Cuba or rural Ukraine might be an ideal place to
ride this thing out. They're still using alot of field oxen/horses
and they won't notice any difference.
Any computers they have are toast. Its all pirated software. And its
totally top down management. Boris the Boss will say 'fix it' and
he'll be oblivious to probs, objections or feedback. He'll be the one
that suffers if it does sputter, or at least his offshore account
will...
-- Downstreamer (downstream@bigfoot.com), November 03, 1999.