Gary North updates his www.garynorth.com home pagegreenspun.com : LUSENET : TimeBomb 2000 (Y2000) : One Thread
About time. That thing was getting stale.
-- King of Spain (email@example.com), October 20, 1999
Face it - the whole catastrophic meme idea has run it's course, and is a stale topic.
-- Andy Ray (firstname.lastname@example.org), October 20, 1999.
Wow - now that *is* a notable event!
By the way, KoS, is that a Freudian Slip I spy in your e-mail address?
-- Y2KGardener (email@example.com), October 20, 1999.
I have to say, compared to the original classic "git on the roof the creek's rising" effect engendered by the original page, this one is pretty tepid. If I didn't know better, I be very tempted to think that Gary no longer believes in y2k as a true TEOTWAWKI event. Sounds now more like "a year of disruption and a decade of depression" at most.
-- Count Vronsky (firstname.lastname@example.org), October 21, 1999.
Gee, I never would have noticed. I've only seen his home page once or twice maybe, well over a year ago. But his "newest links" page is in my Y2K folder (that's bookmark, Hoff). Don't get there very often these days, once every few days or so. Heck, we get the stuff here first, so why bother? I don't agree with very much of Gary's politics, or religion, or whatever, but I sure do appreciate his links...
Tick... Tock... <:00=
-- Sysman (email@example.com), October 21, 1999.
...will create ever-increasing institutional noise and confusion throughout January and beyond
This is a huge climbdown for North but pretty much in line with the general direction of pessimist forecasting and not too far from the Rubin/McConnell UN/World Bank position, i.e. gradual degradation rather than instant TEOTWAWKI. North obviously thinks it's still a one-way slope downhill, but there's no doubt the consensus is shifting. I don't think all these people, including Yourdon, Yardeni are so far apart and they'll get even closer in their positions. Even Mr. Decker, despite his scoffing pose, predicts a 'sharp recession' (80s type rather than 70s).
I predict that before long we will have a broad consensus in the Y2K pessimist camp, broad enough to encompass an optimist-pessimist scale from North to Decker, if not Koskinen (in public, at least). Milne will probably keep the blood and terror flag flying longer than most - there's still a case for spit and anger at the irresponsibility of it all, even if we do dodge the bullet this time round.
-- Tracker (firstname.lastname@example.org), October 21, 1999.