Is this right or why not

greenspun.com : LUSENET : TimeBomb 2000 (Y2000) Preparation Forum : One Thread

After two months we will know. 1. BITR we will be in the recovery stage already. 2. 4 to 6 again there will be signs of recovery. 3. 7 to 9 Most of those who were going to die will be dead by this time and we will know where we stand.

After two months we will know if there will be a recovery or not. At this time we will know for sure if we have to start hunting and fishing for food. Which will be easier with fewer people around. And at this point we will know if it is possible to share our supplies or if our supplies have to be forcibly defended. If I am wrong please give reasons.

-- Mr. Pinochle (pinochledd@aol.com), September 14, 1999

Answers

(1) Beause of production lags, shipping lags, and communications delays, I fully expect that the full onset of Y2K will not hit us on Kaua'i until about the end of February. (Plus or minus a month or so...) In other words, the domino effect will not be immediate.

(2) Communications may be one of the first things to go. There may be censorship (government or otherwise) of news. Thus, we may not know what is happening outside of our local area or state. Hence, we won't necessarily have the information to make an informed decision. (But this is why some of us are working on Ham radio licenses!)

(3) Things will go badly to different levels in different locations. In the jungles of Equador, for example, it will be a zero...there will be no change from a nearly stone-age lifestyle! So we will not be able to judge how the world is going unless we have a LOT of data.

-- Mad Monk (madmonk@hawaiian.net), September 14, 1999.


From: Y2K, ` la Carte by Dancr near Monterey, California

There may be a sizable group of people who are fortunate to live near a good source of water, but who did not store any or enough food. It could be months before they even begin to starve, and most people can survive for another several months without eating. Disease can sweep through weakened populations at any point. It may be a year or more before even half die of those who are going to.

On the other hand... we could have a miraculous non event, and then ten years later fall victim to some crucial company's new time window.

-- Dancr (addy.available@my.webpage), September 17, 1999.


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