Yardini asks: Will the Phones Work in 2000?

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-- Lurker (lurker@here.now), May 06, 1999


If you read the paper, he answered his own question with a 'YES' as far as the US and Western Europe goes. Only concern he had there was for the indys, and they are less than 8% of local service providers.

I am even more optimistic than he is about phone service - I don't see any problem with most of the indys, as a number of them also became cellular providers and upgraded equipment when they did.

It would not surprise me if the only working phone system in Russia post Y2K was the brand new cellular system they had installed by some US businessmen who saw an opportunity when the Iron Curtain came down. But since that is the ONLY reliable system right now, I don't see how that will make all that much difference in the situation - other than making them even more reliant on us for parts and service than they are right now!

-- Paul Davis (davisp1953@yahoo.com), May 06, 1999.

It would be nice if Yardeni answered his question. Other countries will have more problems and the small LECs will also, if they don't get moving on fixing their stuff. Also companies need to make sure the CPE and voice mail systems are complaint. Actually, I don't think this implies that they won't work in 2000, but that few (1% come from small LECs) may not work. In our dealings with the LECs, if they follow standard interfaces, there should be any problems. If they change those interfaces, then we will need to do some kind of manual updates (again only 1% of customers affected) and inform them to fix their interface. Thanks for Yardeni's insight into the telecommunications world (what's his background again?)

-- Maria (anon@ymous.com), May 06, 1999.

Paul beat me to the submit button. I wanted to ask about a statement in the report, something like "if an antenna control unit fails, this could cause complete loss of pointing to the satellite..." How can that possibly happen? What is this example trying to tell me? Why would the control unit depend on the year?

-- Maria (anon@ymous.com), May 06, 1999.

Don't the phone lines use SCADA systems?one never hears much about their remediation,troubling

-- zoobie (zoobiezoob@yahoo.com), May 06, 1999.

Why would the phone lines use SCADA? No point - they already are a networked control system.

He really does answer his own question Maria - you just have to dig a little. Hey, send me another email, I lost your address.

-- Paul Davis (davisp1953@yahoo.com), May 06, 1999.

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