greenspun.com : LUSENET : TimeBomb 2000 (Y2000) : One Thread

Take a look and post your opinions........

-- LindaO (takealook@eu.com), April 22, 1999


http://www.greenspun.com/bboard/q-and-a-fetch- msg.tcl?msg_id=000kgd

-- ~C~ (mg@critt.com), April 22, 1999.

The last line sums it up,
The need for you to do a critical analysis of your own local situation has never been clearer.

-- Critt Jarvis (middleground@critt.com), April 22, 1999.

PFM = Pretty Fucking Marvelous? Would have worked so well, in context.

Actually, when I first began studying this, conflicting info confused me, but then I realized there were enough discrepancies that I might as well take the more negative stuff as the case until it looked otherwise.

I read the review of the meeting with Senator Bennet, and suddenly felt like a totaly fool for the intensity of my study and preparation, and wondered if maybe my plans for a few thousand gallons of grains (remember I've 100+ people to feed, worst case) was just stupid.

Then I read Rick's review and wonder if I'm just back where I started seven months ago: totally confused.

PJ in TX

-- PJ Gaenir (fire@firedocs.com), April 23, 1999.


"While the electric power industry has reported that it has made substantial progress in making its equipment and systems ready to continue operations into the Year 2000, significant risks remain."

That is, even given that the power industry's progress is SELF-reported (not necessarily false, but unaudited), "significnat risks" remain as of end-of-April, 1999. Not 1997 or 1998, 1999. With eight months left.

PJ, Y2K is fundamentally and irremediably (that was meant to be funny) about uncertainty. The Pollys spout off that people like me believe everyone is lying. Absolutely not. It's worse. I believe the IT industry has no rational metrics mechanism or audit capability to determine how much Y2K progress is actually being made, except in the most general sense ("we're well ahead of where we were last year").

Consequently, as Hardliner established irrevocably for me at least, Y2K preparation isn't about "odds" (though I think I could calculate pretty good ones myself) but "stakes". The stakes of systemic Y2K failures on YOUR life are so high that all achievable preparations are reasonable.

Critt -- the statement you quote is ANOTHER one that is, alas, as applicable in April, 1999 as it was in April, 1997. And it will probably be as applicable in April, 2000 too, though perhaps for different reasons then.

-- BigDog (BigDog@duffer.com), April 23, 1999.

when I doubt the effacacy of my planning I remember:this is the largest managerial task in human history,this is the largest I.T.project in human history,I.T.projects rarly(almost never)are done on schedule and finaly we only have big business' assurances that all is well and the S.E.C. does not back them up.we can risk feeling foolish or we can risk being dead

-- zoobie (zoob@aol.com), April 23, 1999.

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