People, I've heard at least the following conflicting scenarios on what, if anything, the Russians will do as far as nuking the USA. Which scenario is right ?

1. Happy-face: never happen, they're pals
2. Immediate: the war in Kosovo will immediately escalate to ww3 3. Use-or-Lose: since Russian nukes aren't y2k compliant, they'll nuke just prior to 1/1/00 4. Come-into-my-web: According to Joel Skousen, Russian want to continue hardening civil defense and deploying new nukes until 2004. They'll definitely strike between 2004 and 2009.

-- Blue Himalayan (bh@k2.y), April 15, 1999

Answers

Probably none of the above!!!!

-- Taz (Tassie@aol.com), April 15, 1999.

Could it be 10?

1 is what they say, (+) 2 is what will happen, (+) 3 will happen in Europe, (+) 4 will happen in the USA = 10...

-- (don-t@really.know), April 15, 1999.

Little tough to come up with an answer on probability. On PLAUSIBILITY, however, it's "all of the above."

C

-- chuck, a Night Driver (rienzoo@en.com), April 15, 1999.

I think part of the problem with Russian nukes is...the Russian government does not have a good control on all of them.

Thus, the Russian government may not want to nuke anyone, for example the U.S., but some extremist -- be he a civilian or military -- may think it is in the good of Mother Russia to get rid of the evil U.S. once and for all... "nuke it 'till it glows."

-- Apple (villarta@itsnet.com), April 15, 1999.

Even the most rabid Russian must realize that a nuclear attack by Russia on the U.S., whatever its destructive results here, would result in the disappearance of most Russian cities, and a largely uninhabitable Russian landscape. Mutual Assured Destruction remains in force. Not in policy, maybe, but as a simple fact.

In the event of a masssive nuclear exchange, civil defense is a joke for both sides. The leaders may survive in bunkers but when they come out there'll be very little left to lead.

-- Tom Carey (tomcarey@mindspring.com), April 15, 1999.

Tom, Klintoon has suht down our early warning systems, taken our subs off line, and dectivated our missles. If the russians/chinese lanched a sneak attack, they'ed devistate us. We wouldn't have time to respond. MAD is no longer in place here!! Klintoon started this Kosovo thing, IMHO to cause the launch and have russia/china devistae us. He's a TRAITOR!!!!!! ALWAYS remember that!!!! :(

-- Crono (Crono@timesend.com), April 16, 1999.

Tom,

MAD no longer exists. If you want a breakdown of the facts read the recent articles by Nyquist and Ruddy. Listen to Skousen, Lunev and Nyquist on the Art Bell show archives. Read what Nikoli and others have said on recent threads. All will be chillingly revealed.

Blue H.,

I would discount 1.

-- Andy (2000EOD@prodigy.net), April 16, 1999.