War/economics/y2k & us Part 4 of Ruddy's China & Russia articlegreenspun.com : LUSENET : TimeBomb 2000 (Y2000) : One Thread
Russia and China Prepare for War -- Part 4 Russia May Launch a Surprise Attack Against US
Christopher Ruddy March 12, 1999
Russia May Launch a Surprise Attack Against US
Since 1917, "capitalist warmongers" in the US and Europe have been the principal targets of hatred by Russians and the Chinese. Following the fall of the Berlin Wall, those campaigns of hate subsided briefly, and authoritarian communists stepped out of the spotlight. Today, with Russia reported in desperate economic straits, the Russian people are again being told, "it's the fault of America and Europe." Brutal communist leaders are again publicly talking, dissent is again being banned, and hatred against the West is soaring.
During the past year, my concerns about Russia have been greatly increased as a result of an interview I conducted with Jeffrey Nyquist -- an independent researcher on Russia and author of The Origins of the Fourth World War.
Nyquist believes Russia has been planning a surprise nuclear attack against the United States, and that this attack will come sooner rather than later -- quite possibly within the next year if the US continues on its present reckless course. I would have scoffed at such suggestions had Nyquist not made such a convincing case and demonstrated such a powerful intellect.
During our conversations, Nyquist listed signs that would indicate a Russian attack was being planned.
NYQUIST'S STARTLING PREDICTIONS
In early 1998, Nyquist predicted that authorities in Russia would deliberately implode their own economy to advance their political and military agendas. There were several reasons. First, that would divert attention from the theft of billions of dollars by government officials from "privatized" companies, and provide a convenient explanation why none of them were making any money. Second, by engendering Russia's economic collapse and blaming the West, the necessary psychological atmosphere for war against the US would be created.
Another outcome of Russia's economic collapse, Nyquist said, would be the emergence of a series of progressively stronger and more militarist Russian leaders. Primakov -- Yeltsin's Prime Minister -- perfectly fits Nyquist's prediction. He's a former hard-line, anti-American KGB general.
Nyquist also predicted that Russia would ally with China. That, too, has now taken place, as you'll see below.
Finally, Nyquist predicted that Russia would stockpile huge quantities of food and other supplies for war, and begin moving their nuclear weapons on to their naval ships where they are much more difficult to monitor and deter. All of this has occurred.
SPY WARNS OF RUSSIAN WAR PLANS
Nyquist is not the only astute observer of Russia who believes Russia may be preparing for war against the US. Stanislav Lunev -- the highest-ranking GRU (Russian military intelligence) officer ever to defect from Russia -- also warns that Russia is preparing for war against the United States.
Lunev's book Through the Eyes of the Enemy (published last summer by Regnery) states categorically that the Cold War is not over and that Russia continues to plan for a nuclear war. "Russia remains terrified of the power of America, and Russian military intelligence does everything it can prepare for a war that it considers inevitable," he wrote. This war, Lunev details, would employ nuclear, biological and chemical weapons against America.
RUSSIAN PLANS: KILL US LEADERS; USE BIOLOGICAL WEAPONS ALREADY IN US
Lunev explains war would begin with the infiltration of Russian special operations troops into the US, who would kill top political and military leaders. Lunev also warns that Russian GRU (military intelligence) agents have already deposited, near key water reservoirs, deadly poisons and toxins which would result in millions of civilians being ravaged by disease. Lunev says, for instance, that the Russians have determined that they could wipe out a significant part of the population of Florida by polluting water sources in the Carolinas.
Another part of Russia's plan, according to Lunev, is to deploy suitcase nuclear bombs at strategic points throughout the US. Lunev says he personally scouted a site in the Hudson Valley just above New York City for one such suitcase nuke.
Lunev has also told me that the democracy movement in Russia was a charade and part of "a plan" to get the West disarm -- achieving through deception what the Soviet Union was never able to achieve militarily. Lunev explained that China was pursuing parallel policies, absorbing as much Western aid and technology as possible before a final confrontation, which Lunev regarded as imminent.
RUSSIA'S ECONOMIC COLLAPSE INCREASES RISK OF WAR
The collapse of Russia's economy greatly increased the chances of war with the West. With 29 times Finland's population, Russia's budget barely matches theirs. According to news reports, millions of ordinary Russians are now struggling just to stay alive, selling family heirlooms and chopping up their furniture for kindling.
Russia's political leaders and economic czars, of course, will never admit that they and their failed totalitarian system are responsible for this widespread misery, and increasingly the West is being blamed.
This is particularly dangerous, because despite economic desperation, Russia continues is still a nuclear superpower. Victor Olove, director of Moscow's Center for Policy Studies, told the Los Angeles Times, "People who have nuclear warheads in their hands have not gotten their salaries for three or four months and are literally hungry."
Some press reports show how close to war we have already come. Britain's Panorama news program reported that in 1995 the Yeltsin government came within minutes of a full nuclear attack on the United States after Russian defense systems failed.
US DETROYS NUCLEAR ARSENAL, RUSSIAN ARSENAL EXPANDS
Since the end of the Cold War, the United States has been systematically destroying its nuclear arsenal. In 1991, the US had approximately 30,000 strategic and tactical nuclear weapons. Under Clinton, that arsenal has fallen nearly 60%. In 1997, the United States had only 12,500 (tactical and strategic) nuclear weapons. Of these, only 8,750 were active, 2500 more were on reserve, and 1,250 were slated to be destroyed. Moreover, our nuclear arsenal has a limited "shelf life," and year by year, more and more weapons become unusable. The Clinton administration has only recently taken belated steps to produce tritium, a necessary component for the maintenance of nuclear weapons.
In contrast, the Russians may now have as many as 50,000 strategic and tactical nuclear weapons -- ranging from small suitcase bombs to large warheads suitable for intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBM's). The lion's share of these weapons remain targeted at the US. And Russia is quickly building even more weapons.
Never before has the strategic nuclear balance been so greatly in Russia's favor. From a military standpoint, this creates a unique window of opportunity for Russia to launch a successful first-strike against the United States at minimal cost to themselves.
"USE IT OT LOSE IT"
Like America's nuclear arsenal, Russia's is degrading as it gets older and requires expensive, periodical servicing.
The Russian government is well aware of this problem. In a recent report to the Duma (Russia's Congress), First Deputy Prime Minister Yuri Masluyokov (a former Soviet military-industrial planner) states that because of obsolescence, Russia's nuclear arsenal will decline quickly, and Russia may "be able to field only 800 to 900 nuclear warheads seven years from now."
Because of Russia's economic problems, Russia may never again enjoy the huge strategic advantage it now has over its old enemies in the West. For die-hard communists, the huge, but temporary, military advantage may represent an irresistible opportunity to "use them before we lose them." Indeed, Bruce Blair, a well-known liberal from the Brookings Institution, stated last summer in The National Interest, "Russia's conventional forces have declined ... and into this vacuum has rushed a growing reliance on nuclear weapons -- including their first use in any serious conventional conflict."
Recognizing the limited shelf-life of Russia's nuclear arsenal, Blair adds, "The nuclear forces themselves have become vulnerable.... Consequently Russia today faces far stronger pressures to ?use or lose' its nuclear arsenal than at any time since the early 1960s."
Y2K BUG MAY BE "TRIPWIRE" FOR WAR
Coinciding with the continuing degradation of Russia's nuclear weapons are military problems they will soon experience as a result of the Y2K (Year 2000 or Millennium) computer bug.
Like all modern strategic weapons, Russia's nuclear arsenal is critically dependent upon computer technology. At the latest, by January 2000 -- less than one year from now -- the millennium bug may render that technology largely useless.
Briefly, the problem is that two digit year codes used by most computer software will cause computers to misread the year 2000 as "00" or "1900." It sounds minor, but this computer glitch could lead to widespread failure of many high-tech weapons systems, including nuclear weapons, aircraft carriers, radar and even tanks.
Even worse, the millennium bug is in billions of "embedded" microprocessors buried deep inside missiles, tanks, satellites, and nuclear reactors. (Imagine the cost of taking a satellite "into the shop" for repairs or sending someone inside a nuclear reactor to locate a defective chip!)
The US military is spending hundreds of millions of dollars to correct its own huge Y2K problem. Russia, however, has neither the money nor the manpower to correct millions of lines of faulty code and replace millions of chips. Their official policy is "fix on failure;" that is, they plan to do NOTHING to repair their systems until they fail. My soon-to-be-published special report -- Y2K and Russia: Impetus For Nuclear War? -- details the enormous Y2K risks Russia is facing -- and Y2K's implications for you.
Another frightening possibility is that on January 1, 2000, Russia's radar screens and early warning system could go blank or falsely report incoming missiles. That could lead Russian military leaders to believe the US has initiated an attack, and launch a counterattack.
The Y2K-related failure of Russia's early warning system could even result in an automatic attack against the US. Most people in the West don't realize it, but Russia has long had a "doomsday defense system." This system is designed to enable Russia to survive a US nuclear first strike and to launch a devastating retaliation even if no commanders are left alive in Russia to issue the orders. This system is designed to automatically launch nuclear missiles at the US if an event occurs that the computer interprets as a Western attack -- such as a loss of satellite and radar systems. The default target of thousands of Russian strategic missiles are cities in the United States and Europe.
Well aware of this problem, US military officials have recommended that the US and Russia place observers in each others' nuclear control rooms next December, to prevent an accidental launch.
RUSSIA PREPARES FOR A FIRST STRIKE
An even more disturbing possibility has not been reported by the press: That is the possibility that the Russian general staff -- which is well aware of their Y2K and economic problems -- may have already decided to strike the United States before their defense systems fail on January 1, 2000.
Thus, in an extremely ominous sign, on December 17, 1997, President Yeltsin, issued a 37-page policy statement, reneging on previous pledges not to use nuclear weapons first.
-- Rusty (firstname.lastname@example.org), March 16, 1999
Can anybody tell us where to purchase Jeffery Nyquist's book (referred to in this article) ? Why is it not listed at either Barnesandnoble.com or amazon.com ?
-- Blue Himalayan (email@example.com), March 16, 1999.
It was because it is soon-to-be-published.
-- (firstname.lastname@example.org), March 16, 1999.
bh, This is from the radioliberty.com site.
12-30-98 Jeff Nyquist. Author,"The Origins of the Fourth World War". ______@
The coming war with Russia and China. They intend to win.
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Credit card orders may be faxed to: (408) 464-8427 or call (800) 544-8927
Check or Money Order to: Radio Liberty, PO Box 13, Santa Cruz, CA 95063
**SHIPPING: 1-2 Tapes/$1.75 : 3-5 Tapes/$2.25 : 6+ Tapes/$3.00 (2nd day delivery)
All single tapes are individually produced. Please allow two weeks for shipment.
-- BB (email@example.com), March 16, 1999.
Don't stop with part iv. Go to newsmax.com and click on archives to read the following articles:
China's Theft of Nuclear Secrets 3-16-1999 Winning The Cultural War 3-16-1999 Russia and China Prepare for War -- Part 6 Eleven Signs of a Russian Surprise Attack 3-16-1999 Ruff Day in the Future 3-16-1999 Year 2000 Computing Crisis: Readiness Improving, But Much Work Remains to Avoid Major Disruptions 3-15-1999 Ron Brown 3-15-1999 Fiddling While Russia Burns 3-14-1999 Russia and China Prepare for War -- Part 5 Russias Recent Military Build-up 3-14-1999 The Jane Doe Case Files 3-13-1999 Missile Defense Act to Hit Senate Floor: Will the Nation be Defended, At Last? 3-12-1999 George and the Defectors 3-12-1999 Media Lynch-Mob: Uneducated or Uninerested? 3-12-1999 Russia and China Prepare for War -- Part 4 Russia May Launch a Surprise Attack Against US 3-12-1999 Removing Fed From Ed 3-11-1999 Scientist: Clinton Administration Gave China Top Nuclear Secrets 3-11-1999 Russia and China Prepare for War -- Part 3 Russia and China -- Our Friends? 3-10-1999 The Jane Doe Case Files -- Part 3 3-10-1999 Russia and China Prepare for War -- Part 2 Clinton's Sell-Out of America 3-9-1999 Russia and China Preparing for War 3-9-1999 Text of Interview with Rep. Curt Weldon (R-Pa.) 3-9-1999 "Entire U.S." Within Range of North Korean Missiles 3-9-1999 The Unbearable Arrogance of the World's Only Superpower 3-9-1999 Russia and China Prepare for War 3-9-1999 Broaddrick Post-Mortem on NBC Interview Ordeal 3-9-1999 CIA Assesses Global Y2K Readiness 3-7-1999 Los Angeles Has Prepared for Y2K Chaos 3-7-1999 Clinton Refuses to Abrogate ABM Treaty 3-7-1999 Y2K Could Disrupt U.S. Foreign Policy Agenda 3-7-1999 A Shocking Analysis of a Deadly Crash 3-5-1999 Unicare Dental Plans (Argus Dental Plans) 3-4-1999 Y2K Information Online 3-4-1999 China Trade 3-4-1999 The Jane Doe Case Files -- Part 2 3-3-1999 Macs Ready For Y2K 3-2-1999 An Aspect of the Y2K Problem 3-2-1999 Accused of Rape, Why Won't President Clinton Scream His Innocence? 3-1-1999 Ron Browns Death Still a Mystery 3-1-1999 Taking Clinton to the Wall : Arkansas Bar Grievance 3-1-1999 Parsing Susan Estrich 3-1-1999
March, 1999 February, 1999 January, 1999 December, 1998 November, 1998 October, 1998 More Articles
-- BB (firstname.lastname@example.org), March 16, 1999.
OK, here's a Nyquist website with a lot more info on this issue, which is ultimately more significant than y2k, imho:
Nyquist, on Likely Russian Nuclear Attack
-- Blue Himalayan (email@example.com), March 16, 1999.
All they want is our stuff, and total dominance. They might use limited nukes but they really want, and need, our stuff. The commie fu..I mean bas...I mean our enemy only wants our stuff. And other things.
Bet they are already here!
Yes, it's me!
-- gut'em (commiebasher@USA.com), March 16, 1999.
Just a thought. www.newsmax.com is probably not what you want to read at bedtime, even if you are a skeptic. ;-)
BTW thanks for the link, it is definately food for thought.
-- Deborah (firstname.lastname@example.org), March 17, 1999.