Below is a link to "The Delphi Technique". Although not specifically about Koskinen, it sure describes his methods regarding converting the public to "bump inthe road" Y2K. Thoughts?

www.premier1.net/%7Ebarkonwd/school/DELPHI.HTM

-- Jon Johnson (narnia4@usa.net), March 12, 1999

Answers

Jon,

Excellent article.

-- mabel (mabel_louise@yahoo.com), March 12, 1999.

Thanks Jon, kinda reminds me of a FEW posters here !!

Ray

-- Ray (ray@totacc.com), March 12, 1999.

Exactly.

-- BigDog (BigDog@duffer.com), March 12, 1999.

Here's the hotlink:

http://ww w.premier1.net/%7Ebarkonwd/school/DELPHI.HTM

Highly recommended reading despite the occasional typos. Forewarned is forearmed. This technique is used more frequently than most people realize. I first learned about it in a college class where it was used on the class - unbeknownst to us until the desired manipulation had been achieved - quite effectively. The entire class, including myself, fell for it hook, line & sinker.

-- Arnie Rimmer (arnie_rimmer@usa.net), March 12, 1999.

I should add that it is really the corruption of the Delphi Process that is the problem. (i.e. a hammer can be used to build a house or to assault the postman, nuclear fission can be used either to produce power or to cook your neighbors) For additional information on the Delphi Process itself and how it is intended to work, see:

http://www.tcdc.com/dmet hs/dmeth5b.htm

-- Arnie Rimmer (arnie_rimmer@usa.net), March 12, 1999.

And, you may also want to consider informing yourself on the Tavistock method (PDF viewer required):

http://leep.li s.uiuc.edu/tavistock/readings.html

-- Arnie Rimmer (arnie_rimmer@usa.net), March 12, 1999.

The Tavistock and Delphi articles are very interesting. In the first Tavistock article, we see the following:

>An aggregate cluster of persons becomes a group when interaction between members occurs, when members' awareness of their common relationship develops, and when a common group task emerges. Various forces can operate to produce a groupan external threat, collective regressive behavior, or attempts to satisfy needs for security, safety, dependency, and affection. Other, more deliberate forces that result in the birth of a group are the conscious choices of individuals to band together to perform a task. Essential to the Tavistock approach is the belief that when an aggregate becomes a group, the group behaves as a systeman entity or organism that is in some respects greater than the sum of its partsand that the primary task of the group is survival. Although this primary task is frequently disguised or masked, survival as a group becomes the primary preoccupation and latent motivating force for all group members. This emphasis on survival provides the framework for the exploration of group behavior and all the overt and covert manifestations of the primary task.>

What I find interesting is that this discussion forum has NOT become a group by this definition. Why do you think that is?

-- Olaf Granola (Olaf@birkenstock.edu), March 15, 1999.

Olav -- More clarification please. Why do you say so?

-- BigDog (BigDog@duffer.com), March 15, 1999.