TIME FOR A SURVEY!greenspun.com : LUSENET : TimeBomb 2000 (Y2000) : One Thread
Due to the recent press releases and testimony from several branches of the Government I have to questions for my survey:
1. How severe or non-severe on a scale from one to ten (ten being the most severe) do you now think it will be?
2. When do you expect the DGI class of people to pick up on it all?
-- HEY (ONE@ONE.NET), February 25, 1999
on the one to ten scale a 9. It is quite a job and not easy to get the masses to run (but watch out they run ya over once they stampeeeeede). My guess will be that there is no big movement until about September/October 1999.
-- rickjohn (email@example.com), February 25, 1999.
It will be a disaster. How bad & how long will depend on people's reactions. No, not that idiomotic "those who prepare will cause panic." AFTER 1/1/2000 when the disruptions hit, THEN how people behave.
If everybody prepared now there would be NO panic. Why is this so difficult for so many to grasp?
Predicting human behavior is difficult. Timing -- who knows? If the manipulators would just try honesty for a change, they might be astonished at the power of truth.
xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxx
-- Ashton & Leska in Cascadia (firstname.lastname@example.org), February 25, 1999.
I would have to say about an 8 or a 9. However, I thin it is hard to get to even a six and stop. w=Once you are that far it is easy to drop the whole rest of the way. As far as the rest of th DGI........I think they are slowly starting to get it. I know that the non believers in my family now have a better grasp now that I have shown them the articles from the last few days! More and more are starting to GI!
-- PMM (email@example.com), February 25, 1999.
Either a 5 or a 10 (I believe 6-9 are moot) Fall, barring an unforseen motivating catalist.
-- Lon Frank (firstname.lastname@example.org), February 25, 1999.
Honestly guys I am still at a 1.5 for the United States. I don't think there will be enough of an impact on our country to make people panic and riot in the streets. I think generally the people will be getting it by October.
(And like any good story there is a big but)
In light of recent events in Russia I'm beginning to think there are going to be some pretty widespread disruptions: IMHO here is how I think the major countries stand as of right now...
Russia- Big figure 8
(Includes all areas in direct contact with Russia's economy etc.)
South America- 6-7
Latin America- 4
But these are just guesses and no I don't have any facts to back it up with. I wish I had more insight into these countires but it's hard enough to get information here about the USA. I also guess it's entirley conceivable that there will be some sort of "global rock bottom" in less than a year after the 1/1/00 deadline where everyone is pretty much sunk.
-- (AES2010@aol.com), February 25, 1999.
The truth is, nobody can predict how Y2K will turn out. Even meteorologists have problems with predictions.
My current opinion, which should not be taken as legal or financial advice:
U.S. -- 8.0 (average of regional impacts)
Germany -- 9.0
Japan -- 9.5
Russia -- 10.0
When will the public generally understand the severity of the problem? Let's say August 1999 for the sake of this survey. It could be as late as January of 2000, however, before the public takes Y2K seriously.
-- Kevin (email@example.com), February 25, 1999.
US - 1.5
Mexico - 3
Damn! A Paul Davis's Paul Davis!
-- a (firstname.lastname@example.org), February 25, 1999.
This forum has spoken many times and the average answer is always around an 8. And as to when we lose sphincter control my tea leaves say October.
-- yourworstnightmare (email@example.com), February 25, 1999.
IT WiLL BE a 9!!!! 9 !!!! CAn You sEE HoW THaT IS So?????? 9!!!! NO thAnk You!!!!
-- Dieter (firstname.lastname@example.org), February 25, 1999.
I think about a 5. And the DGI's....? Here's how I see it. Mr. Average American is sitting in front of his TV sans shirt and shoes.The news commentator relates the latest info from the Senate Report. Our hero stretches, rubs his belly, and tosses a bare foot onto the coffee table. 'Mmm...looks like that y2k stuff could cause some problems next year. Let's remember to pick up a couple bottles of water after Christmas. Bring me another beer, will ya hon?'
-- Eye on Y2k (email@example.com), February 25, 1999.
I was really worried at first of the potential problems we as united nation may face. Despite all the GI's and their TEOTW theories, I don't think the U.S. will be put into a depression. Sure some unexpected problems will occur. I do plan on being prepared just in case, however, I believe the world will somehow overcome this problem. I understand it is a fairly easy glitch to fix and time is the major concern. So when the clock does strike at midnight and the problems do start, does that mean that everyone in the world is going to just give up all hope of fixing the problem? No, of course not. It will just take extra time to get the problem solved and our lives will return to normal. How much time? I could not say. But we have come so far and technology exceeds my limited imagination. I could not ever think for a single moment that with all the knowledge we have, that life would return to the early 1900's and stay that way. My major concern is human nature, when the people have a scare put into them. Many fears are not about the computer problem, but more with the end coming due to the lack of morale values, hideous crimes on our children, and so forth. So as for the poll, well it is my firm belief that we may very well get over the computer problem enough to survive a little while longer. But as for human nature, I am not so certain. Sorry I did not give a simple 1-10 answer but I needed to get that off my chest. I hope you all understand, I am worried for us all as a society. How much more hatred and corruption can we stand?
-- bravingtheflames (firstname.lastname@example.org), February 25, 1999.
7 to a 9.5 depending on location...
I expect what I'd call the milder DGIs to start trying to make a gesture at doing something along about OCT - NOV, the seriously DGI and DWGIs...maybe about January 10th or 12th...
-- Arlin H. Adams (email@example.com), February 25, 1999.
I'm surveyed out...but in light of what has gone on this week in the news, stock market, internet, and my menopausal mood, I say it is going to be a rather anguishing experience for many, less fortunate for the multitudes, and down right manure eating bad for everyone! So I guess I say it will be a 10.
"Any one living within 5 miles of Burger King will become hamburger." Bardou
-- bardou (firstname.lastname@example.org), February 26, 1999.
I expect it to start at a 3-4 Jan. 1 ish, progressing to an 8. Based upon what appears to be for the most part terrible leadership from our esteemed elected officials.
The biggest DGI's won't REALLY GI until they're hungry & thirsty.
Although I haven't given up hope.
-- Deborah (email@example.com), February 26, 1999.
For the world as a whole, a "7" by the fourth quarter of 1999, sliding to a "10" by the third quarter of 2000 (at the latest). This assessment factors in non-Y2K related events (terrorism, wars, global economic collapse, etc.).
Have a nice day:-)...
-- Nabi Davidson (firstname.lastname@example.org), February 26, 1999.
I no longer think that it's revealing to try to measure the probable effects on a scale of 1 - 10. When we consider the effects of say - WWII - we don't gain much by trying to put it into scale values. And just as WWII was regional and national in it's impacts, y2k will be also, I believe. I think geography, economics, class, and other subdivisions (possibly religious/spiritual, racial, and political) of humanity will experience different kinds and degrees of impact. I do believe that we are headed for an economic depression, but I don't think it's going to look (or behave) quite like the last one. I see us (the U.S.) entering a period of economic and social regression, with an even greater seperation between the rich and the poor, and with a significant reduction in personal freedom. I suspect that when this era is viewed from the future, y2k will be seen as a catalyst in solidifying already present trends.
I think that most people in this country will GI as much as they are capable of GI by this summer.
-- cat (email@example.com), February 26, 1999.
I am a farmer and it looks like ELEVEN !!!!!!!
-- Betty Arnspiger (Barn266@aol.com), February 26, 1999.
l. I think it will be a 3 or 4 by November and will continue to slide as 2000 progresses. Unless we have a total grid loss New Years, it will be a progressive slide down hill. The steepness increases to the point where nothing will stop it. 2. The DGI will be getting it by November 3. The DWGIs will not get it until the lights go out and they are cold and hungry. 4. Since I am signing up for Social Security this morning, it is a GIVEN that SS will go down. LOL
-- Taz (Tassie@aol.com), February 26, 1999.