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greenspun.com : LUSENET : TimeBomb 2000 (Y2000) : One Thread

On the radio all day is promo with Peter Jennings, ABC will run another Y2K..(or at least I think) spot on the early evening news. Jennings blurb goes something like this:

The new millennium is coming but some people are planning for doomsday...

Sound like Y2K to you? Check your local listings.

-- Donna Barthuley (moment@pacbell.net), November 16, 1998

Answers

Okay...no Y2K...Interview with Stephen Jay Gould, author of a new book on humans and millenial phenomena,...biblical prophecies, the rapture, church conferences,...and then the old saw about 2000 or 2001 being the year to remark upon and celebrate.

Ho hum!

-- Donna Barthuley (moment@pacbell.net), November 16, 1998.


Donna,

I saw the report. I've always thought that there will be so many, many different reasons why things will get difficult in 1999 and the apocolypse/end times is just one of them. I guess I think there will be a lot of reasons why buying supplies will be difficult very soon.

Mike ==================================================================

-- Michael Taylor (mtdesign3@aol.com), November 16, 1998.


Aw, cheer up Mike. The wry silver lining is: Those preparing to meet the Mothership or get pulled up into the Clouds whenever the new millennium dawns won't be stocking up on survival supplies... (winking)

-- Donna Barthuley (moment@pacbell.net), November 16, 1998.

Your message, Mike, says a lot of what I thought about when I read what Donna posted. People who think the year 2000 is end-times will add to Y2K panic.

Of course if 50% of organizations in Germany, Japan and Saudi Arabia have mission-critical failures, and if 66% in China and Russia do, as is now predicted, the political instability (war) from this could very much seem like "end-time" events.

-- Kevin (mixesmusic@worldnet.att.net), November 16, 1998.


A year ago, a friend and I did a very detailed wargaming exercise of this scenario, China and Russia at war. If that happened, it would be bloody. Very bloody. 1980-1987, Iraq and Iran went to war. They had approximately equal strengths; Iraq had better technology, Iran had two or three times the population. They were roughly equal; both fairly low-tech. For seven years they bashed away at each other. About fifteen million Iranians died out of a population that was originally roughly 55 million. Eight million Iraqis died. If China and Russia fought -and that's quite possible- the death count would run into 9 figures. Most of northern China and eastern Siberia would be laid waste. It is highly conceivable that more people could die from that than every other event of y2k put together.

(Sorry, just wanted to show off 2 years worth of military nitpicking) --Leo

-- Leo (leo_champion@hotmail.com), November 17, 1998.



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