From: "Rushken"
Did anyone not see this?
**********
"We believe Y2K will be the second costliest accident in history," Gogerty
claimed. (Assuming WWI was the first, then Herstatt really is the Mother of
all turds.) But, "barring nuclear or major chemical failures, loss of life
should be minimal in the USA," he chirped. He had perhaps meant to reassure
the Committee, but one could have heard a pin drop when he finished his
speech. It was all over their faces: "what the Hell is 'minimal' supposed to
mean? And worse, what might 'maximum' mean, and which poor tribe is going to
represent that extreme?"
It was several minutes before Co-chair Christopher Dodd (D--Conn) summoned
the courage to ask.
"There is a constant rate of loss of life due to industrial accidents in the
this country every day," Gogerty explained. "The Y2K bug and, let's say, the
'non-standard behaviour' of individuals around that [time] will...lead to a
spike in accident rates."
"All right, we'll leave it there," Dodd replied with a nervous smile. He
didn't seem to appreciate that, from Gogerty's point of view, he'd just been
given the good news. .
************
I don't have the URL but have the whole article on disk so can send it to
anyone who wants it or post it to the list. I think it was on Y2Knewswire
the other day. Sounds pretty serious, no?
Rushken
Has someone got a source link for this??
Night train
-- jes a plaigerizin ol footballer (must a lerned it at Syracuse) (nighttr@in.lane), October 23, 1999
If they're nervous at this drop-in-the-bucket toe-tipping venture,
wait till they face the pitchfork-churning mobs. They have not
thought this through. How they could be so blind ...
We all shoulda tied 'em down and made 'em read this Forum, start to
finish, every thread -- major think tank activity here, coulda clued
them in ...
-- Ashton & Leska in Cascadia (allaha@earthlink.net), October 23, 1999.
night train......
here's the url for the testimony before
the senate committee:
http://www.senate.gov/~y2k/hearings/
991013/
(it's interesting to note that all of the
testimonies by various speakers were
presented in pdf format the first day
on the senate site........then ALL of the
other witnesses's testimony was
converted to html EXCEPT gogerty's,
which remains in the pdf formatting)
i saw the last 20 minutes or so of the
show on cspan, and captured it on tape
something you won't find in the pdf file
of gogerty's testimony is the "back
and forth" questioning and answering
between gogerty and dodd ....... where
dodd asks gogerty to explain "loss of
life should be minimal in the
USA"...........dodd asks him "how can we
expect ANY loss of life in the US?"
gogerty says "i don't anticipate
10's of thousands......or i *hope* not
obviously" and goes on to explain
that there will surely be SOME kind of
accidents occuring either directly or
indirectly related to Y2K
this is about where dodd breaks in on
gogerty and says "you understand our
concern here.......one of the things we're
trying to do......we see one of the
greatest threats to this problem is
panic"
so they both "agree to agree" that the
law of probability should be taken into
account
arrrgh!
how can we take into account the law
of probability when even the most
higher-ups in the info food chain are
"hoping" and "not anticipating" that
there won't be tens of thousands of
deaths in the US, when they have TONS
more access to information than we
do?
-- andrea (mebsmebs@hotmail.com), October 24, 1999.