Average European country could lose electrical power for 7 days.

A recent analysis of Y2K preparation indicates that the average European and former CIS country, could experience 7 days without electricity.

June 28, 1999 --

A recent study, using data from a specialist consultancy in London, has calculated that the average country in Europe & the former CIS will experience 7 days power failure, due to the Y2K problem.

The analysis involved modelling the technological inventory, and usage profile of 36 countries. The countries technological profile was then combined with an economic profile, and a Y2K preparedness estimate.

The remaining estimates of unfinished, or improperly finished Y2K fixes, were then applied to a damage estimate scale. The scale called the Y2K Storm Rating scale, ranks countries from 1 to 6, with 6 being the worst case. The average Y2K Storm Rating for Europe and the former CIS was 3.4, this score corresponds with an average utility outage of 7 days.

The Y2K Storm Rating, is used by International Monitoring to assess the risk profile for 140 countries. The scale is used to assess the probable delays in critical infrastructure such as utilities; telecoms, transportation and banking due to Y2K problems, which will not be fixed or fixed improperly.

There is a significant variance in the level of preparedness with Ireland and the UK considered the most prepared and the former CIS (former Soviet states) being considered least prepared.

The countries in the study of Europe and the former CIS include:

Albania Estonia Latvia Russia Armenia Finland Lithuania Spain Austria France Macedonia Sweden Belgium Georgia Moldova Switzerland Bosnia Germany Netherlands Tajikistan Bulgaria Greece Norway Turkey Croatia Hungary Poland Ukraine Czech Republic Ireland Portugal United Kingdom Denmark Italy Romania Yugoslavia

International Monitoring has urged its clients, both government and corporate to design appropriate response plans.

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And this is JUST European countries. Their assessment is based on a BEST CASE scenario. Power is going out for a good long time and catastrophes are inevitable.

-- Paul Milne (fedinfo@halifax.com), June 29, 1999

Answers

URL

http://www.intl-monitoring.com/europe.htm

-- Paul Milne (fedinfo@halifax.com), June 29, 1999.

Won't happen. Garbage in, garbage out. Regards,

-- FactFinder (FactFinder@bzn.com), June 29, 1999.

FactFinder,

You got it exactly right, sorta. But the garbage going in is the lousy remediation work being done by so many of the utilities. Say, weren't there 3 or 4 million gallons of garbage coming out of one of them just recently?

-- Gordon (gpconnolly@aol.com), June 29, 1999.

wonder if this group (International Monitoring) - has any ties to Vegas. They sound an awful lot like bookmakers to me. Very scientific - but still odds makers and layers.....

-- justme (finally@home.com), June 30, 1999.

Power surges and dirty power (low outputs)? What sort of damage will occur from these two scenerios, which have been confirmed *highly probable* from the 'experts'? Even if they could assure it ain't goin' bye-bye...how can they dismiss the damage created by these likely events. The Power-ball that fried refrigerators or the trickle that burned up the furnace motor or your microwave doing a smoking projectile across the kitchen. "Fear not about the grid. It is mighty, but we are experts, allow me to recommend one of our staffed proctologists for your daughter's curling iron problem" Phones, oil, electricity, rail system, trucking, air travel, natural gas. Trouble with one, hurts the next and the next.The First one could recover if only number three could get their act together, but can't because number two was counting on number four, who's waiting........still wait-inggg... 'bout done over there? Naturally, there shouldn't be problems in any of our other industries or Government that might distract us from getting the job done, right? Hmmmmmmmmmmm

-- Will continue (farming@home.com), June 30, 1999.

Factfinder signs off with 'regards'???? HMMMMMMMMM Spending too much time with Dicker? Sleeping with Dicker's mother perhaps? Dicker disguised? Dicker depressed?

-- Will continue (farming@home.com), June 30, 1999.